Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca
This Polymarket tracks who will advance from the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters match between Matteo Berrettini and Joao Fonseca, scheduled for April 9 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Berrettini if Matteo Berrettini advances, or to Fonseca if Joao Fonseca advances. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market resolves according to the listed cancellation rules.
This market refers on the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Joao Fonseca in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Matteo Berrettini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,249.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Proven sports bettor follows momentum
A proven cross-market sports trader with 156 resolved bets bought $12.2k of Joao Fonseca at 82¢ as the price was breaking upward, making this a modest but followable signal.
- This bettor has 156 resolved bets, wins 65% of them, and is up nearly $47k lifetime
- They put $12.2k into Joao Fonseca at 82¢ as the market jumped 11 points in about 3 minutes
- The bet is sizable, but in a liquid market, so this looks more like a sharp follow-through trade than a hidden thin-market edge
$12,234 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 65%
83% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 83% win rate bought into a pre-match volume and price surge on Joao Fonseca, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 83% of 1,263 resolved trades and is up about $427k lifetime
- They trade heavily across 1,206 markets and 970 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Their Joao Fonseca buy came during a 31.8x volume spike as the price jumped 21 points, showing strong market agreement
$1,492 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 83%
83% win-rate sports sharp
A high-volume serial sports trader with an 83% win rate and $426k profit bought Joao Fonseca before an 8-point move higher, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $426k across 1,263 bets
- They trade heavily across 1,206 markets and 970 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought Joao Fonseca at 72¢ and the market is already up to 80¢, showing their entry moved in the right direction
$1,101 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 83%
83% win-rate sports bettor
A very high-performing serial sports trader with an 83% win rate and $426k profit just put nearly $3k on Joao Fonseca, making this a credible copy-trade despite the market being liquid and the bet size moderate.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $426k on $1.79M invested
- They have a long track record across 1,206 markets and 970 events, which makes this a proven repeatable signal
- They bought Joao Fonseca at 62¢, implying they still saw value near current 60¢ pricing
$2,966 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp 3-wallet tennis cluster
Three wallets piled into Joao Fonseca in minutes, including one with an 83% win rate and $426k profit, creating coordinated sharp flow with a modest price jump.
- A bettor who wins 83% of 1,263 resolved trades and is up $426.7k joined this Joao Fonseca buy cluster
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.4k in a few minutes, and the price jumped 11 points right after
- Two wallets have broad cross-market history, including one active across 1,206 markets with an 83% win rate
$7,365 on Joao Fonseca
92% win-rate sharp
A proven high-volume sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and $1.64M profit is buying Joao Fonseca amid a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $1.64M across 1,128 resolved positions
- They trade heavily across 529 markets and 428 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- They bought Joao Fonseca at 56¢ during a 54x volume spike, suggesting confidence in this side before the match
$1,092 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x3b5c...126e — Joao Fonseca, $68,271 (79% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Matteo Berrettini, $31,712 (73% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Joao Fonseca, $30,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Matteo Berrettini, $29,212 (56% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Matteo Berrettini, $19,814 (57% win rate)
- 0xe4d3...c2f0 — Joao Fonseca, $17,983 (68% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Matteo Berrettini, $12,380 (50% win rate)
- 0x5912...6f45 — Joao Fonseca, $8,196
- 0x2005...75ea — Matteo Berrettini, $8,009 (52% win rate)
- 0xb8e3...aaf2 — Joao Fonseca, $4,943 (100% win rate)
