Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller

This market refers on the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Alexandre Muller in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 4 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Jan Choinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,042.

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp buys longshot

A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate and nearly $918k profit is taking a contrarian shot on a 6¢ tennis underdog, making this small but sharp-looking position worth watching.

This bettor wins 75% of their resolved trades and is up about $918k lifetime
They trade heavily across markets — 79 markets in 71 events for over $580k tracked
Bought the underdog at 6¢, a cheap entry that only needs a small upset chance to pay off big

$1,518 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 75%

3-wallet sharp underdog cluster

Three profitable wallets piled into a longshot tennis side during a sharp pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated underdog buy worth watching despite the small total size relative to market liquidity.

Three winning wallets all bought Jan Choinski, including one up $918k lifetime and another winning 80% of resolved bets
They bought a longshot at 6¢ to 14¢ during a 34.8x volume spike, signaling a shared contrarian view before the match
The market was moving fast as they traded, with a rapid 19.5-point price swing in under 5 minutes

$9,257 on Jan Choinski

Profitable underdog tennis bettor

A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate put $6.6k into a longshot tennis side during a 26x pre-match volume spike, suggesting conviction on a meaningful underdog mispricing.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $156k overall
They put $6.6k on Jan Choinski at 10-14¢, a clear longshot position rather than routine favorite buying
The market saw a 26x volume spike before the match, which adds support to the idea that informed money was moving

$6,636 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 80%

75% win-rate tennis bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $914k profit bought Alexandre Muller as the price was breaking upward, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 75% of their resolved trades and is up $914k lifetime across 561 bets
They trade across many related markets with scale: 69 events, 77 markets, and $574k tracked in this pattern
Bought Alexandre Muller at 60¢ during a fast 19.5-point price jump, suggesting conviction with momentum behind it

$2,631 on Alexandre Muller | Wallet win rate: 75%