Part of: Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

This Polymarket market covers who advances from the Rolex Paris Masters match between Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. Current odds aren’t included in the supplied metadata; it reports $25,682 in tracked smart money and one signal, with a listed resolution date of November 9, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,872.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Cerundolo cluster

Three wallets bought Cerundolo together for $9.4K, including two with substantial profitable histories, though the market price has since fallen sharply against their entries.

  • Three wallets bought Cerundolo within seconds, committing $9,401 at 33–35¢.
  • Two wallets have large profitable track records, including one with 67% wins across 1,700 resolved bets.
  • The odds have since fallen to 16%, well below their entries, so the coordinated bet has moved against them.

$9,401 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Three-wallet Cerundolo buying surge

A three-wallet surge totaling $9,401 backs Cerundolo, including an experienced, profitable trader adding to an existing position.

  • Three wallets bought Cerundolo for a combined $9,401, alongside a reported 167× volume spike.
  • The trader has 1,700 resolved bets and is up $254,234 lifetime, with a 67% win rate.
  • This $2,310 buy adds to an existing $7,000 position, though the price has since fallen from 33¢ to 16¢.

$2,310 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 67%

Eight-wallet cluster with proven winners

Eight wallets bought $25.7k of Casper Ruud, including several highly profitable bettors with strong long-term records, though the current price has slipped below many of their entries.

  • Eight wallets put $25,682 behind Ruud, with one bettor showing 69% wins across 50,593 resolved bets and $11.6M profit.
  • Other cluster members have strong records too, including an 81% win rate across 2,353 resolved bets and $563K profit.
  • Ruud is now around 71¢, below several cluster entries of 74–75¢, so the price has moved against much of their buying.

$34,161 on Casper Ruud

Top Holders

  1. 0x88a6...7e77 — Casper Ruud, $60,000 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x0d6a...aa98 — Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $32,246 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x26b4...b8a9 — Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $27,923 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xe787...5034 — Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $27,000 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x076d...8d4c — Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $16,479 (69% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 — Casper Ruud, $13,370 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x2005...75ea — Casper Ruud, $11,244 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x2ecb...ecb8 — Casper Ruud, $9,656 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x7c1e...bab3 — Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $8,699 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x33c9...6f9a — Casper Ruud, $7,530 (82% win rate)

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Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$45,872 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames
Casper Ruud
100¢
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Casper Ruud”
75¢
72¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-11-02 14:15 UTC

$9,401 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 34¢

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-11-02 14:12 UTC

$2,310 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 33¢

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-11-02 14:12 UTC

$34,161 on Casper Ruud at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

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