Rybakina vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

This Polymarket tracks whether the first set between Elena Rybakina and Diana Shnaider in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix will have over or under 8.5 total games. The market resolves to Over if at least 9 games are completed in set one, and Under if the set ends with 8 or fewer games; a first-set tiebreak counts as one game. If the first set is not completed, the market resolves 50-50, with final resolution scheduled by April 23, 2026.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,487.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

High-volume serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with 1,143 resolved bets bought Over in a thin tennis sub-market, taking 72% of the last 24 hours' volume.

  • This bettor has 1,143 resolved bets with a 63% win rate and nearly $13k in profit
  • The $1.5k buy made up 72% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a thin market
  • Bought Over at 72¢ after the market had already moved higher, suggesting they still see value

$1,487 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 14492500, $1,012
  2. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 14492500, $892 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x0e1b...ecaf Outcome 14492500, $252 (49% win rate)
  4. 0xc4db...7e0c Outcome 14492500, $191 (43% win rate)
  5. 0x75dc...4f82 Outcome 14492500, $90
  6. 0xa11f...1252 Outcome 14492500, $31
  7. 0x9bd9...084f Outcome 14492500, $30
  8. 0x386f...db83 Outcome 14492500, $24
  9. 0x204f...ba2c Outcome 14492500, $15
  10. 0x9b4a...e2bf Outcome 14492500, $11

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Rybakina vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

5d$1,487 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Diana Shnaider in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Notable Trades

Rybakina vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

23h ago

$1,487 on Over at 72¢

Related Theses

Rybakina vs Shnaider Set 1 O/U 8.5 Odds | PolySpotter