S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 28 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 28 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,139.

Categories: SPX, Daily, Indicies, Up or Down, Finance, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

90% win-rate SPX bettor

A high-win-rate bettor with a strong historical edge sold Down in a moderately thin SPX open market, implying a fresh buy on Up around 52¢ worth following.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and has made $13.4k profit across 29 bets.
  • They effectively bought Up at 52¢ by selling Down at 48¢, a near-even price that suggests a clear edge.
  • Their $2.3k trade was meaningful versus $5.1k liquidity, so this was not just a tiny routine bet.

$2,300 on Up | Wallet win rate: 90%

90% win-rate SPX bettor

A high-accuracy bettor with a strong demonstrated edge bought Down at 39¢ in a moderately thin SPX open market, making this a copy-worthy sharp trade despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $13.4k on $84.3k invested
  • They bought Down at 39¢, a cheap entry that implies they see the true odds well above 39%
  • The market is only $8.3k in 24h volume, so a $1.8k buy is meaningful relative to activity

$1,839 on Down | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc74...4035 Down, $525
  2. 0x2362...6fd5 Up, $380
  3. 0xd035...f165 Up, $299
  4. 0x24cc...3947 Down, $232
  5. 0x6d72...8e89 Up, $227
  6. 0xe38d...7db0 Up, $200
  7. 0xf301...4ce1 Down, $196 (41% win rate)
  8. 0x6885...973e Up, $174
  9. 0x4901...cc02 Down, $168
  10. 0x3bbd...508d Down, $168

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?

13h$4,139 tracked2 signalsSPXDailyIndiciesHide From NewUp or DownFinanceRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Up
43¢
Down
57¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 28 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 28 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Down
58¢
44¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?

3h ago

$2,300 on Up at 52¢

52¢43¢9¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?

3h ago

$1,839 on Down at 39¢

39¢57¢18¢

Related Theses