S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,124.

Notable Trades

72% win-rate macro bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a solid 72% win rate is taking a fresh position on Up at 34¢, offering a clear copyable entry even though the single trade is modest.

  • This bettor has won 44 of 61 resolved markets and is up $38k overall.
  • They trade heavily across related event markets, with 37 events and $941k in total action.
  • Bought Up at 34¢ while the market now sits around 36¢, signaling a low-price directional view.

$1,124 on Up | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc902...cd14 Down, $6,072
  2. 0x5e73...6697 Down, $5,343 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x04b9...79e0 Up, $4,679
  4. 0xeadf...26ef Up, $3,242
  5. 0x439f...225f Down, $1,698 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x2651...3471 Up, $1,499
  7. 0xeae5...0720 Up, $1,433 (55% win rate)
  8. 0xeae7...2800 Down, $1,401 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x9728...0314 Up, $1,332
  10. 0x90c2...8c24 Down, $1,102

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

21h$1,124 tracked1 signalSPXDailyIndiciesUp or DownFinanceHide From New
Up
25¢
Down
75¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

2h ago

$1,124 on Up at 34¢

34¢25¢9¢

Related Theses

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | PolySpotter