S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 30 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 30 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,693.

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

A serial cross-market trader with a 96% win rate put $8.7k into Up at 90¢ on a same-day SPX open market, making this worth watching despite the rich price.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 1,248 bets and has traded 339 markets in 262 events
  • They just put $8.7k on Up at 90¢, a sizable position versus this market's $2.5k liquidity
  • Most of this wallet's wins come from buying very high-probability outcomes, so the edge looks more about execution than finding huge mispricings

$8,693 on Up | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe5f0...dc1d Down, $47,528 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x05dd...e2af Up, $19,759
  3. 0xe617...f251 Up, $16,469 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x57de...cd90 Up, $13,032
  5. 0x6bd4...ed58 Down, $10,000
  6. 0x5ee1...b305 Down, $9,260
  7. 0x278d...7c8d Up, $8,268
  8. 0x8bc8...97dc Up, $6,000
  9. 0xcd27...3825 Up, $5,544
  10. 0x2651...3471 Up, $5,039

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

6h$8,693 tracked1 signalSPXUp or DownDailyIndiciesFinanceHide From New
Up
100¢
Down
0¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 30 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 30 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

2h ago

$8,693 on Up at 90¢

90¢100¢10¢

Related Theses

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | PolySpotter