Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,574.

Categories: SPX, Daily, Up or Down, Indicies, Finance, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor buying reversal

A profitable high-volume wallet is buying the beaten-down side in a near-close S&P market after a 180x volume spike and sharp repricing.

  • This wallet is up $116k lifetime across $3.6M traded, despite winning only 46% of resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 180x volume spike and a rapid move against Down, creating a possible reversal entry at 20¢.
  • This resolves today, so the bet is on a near-term S&P move with only a few hours left.

$1,200 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable bettor buying reversal

A profitable high-volume wallet is buying the beaten-down side in a near-close S&P market after a 180x volume spike and sharp repricing.

  • This wallet is up $116k lifetime across $3.6M traded, despite winning only 46% of resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 180x volume spike and a rapid move against Down, creating a possible reversal entry at 20¢.
  • This resolves today, so the bet is on a near-term S&P move with only a few hours left.

$1,156 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable bettor buying reversal

A profitable high-volume wallet is buying the beaten-down side in a near-close S&P market after a 180x volume spike and sharp repricing.

  • This wallet is up $116k lifetime across $3.6M traded, despite winning only 46% of resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 180x volume spike and a rapid move against Down, creating a possible reversal entry at 20¢.
  • This resolves today, so the bet is on a near-term S&P move with only a few hours left.

$2,212 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable bettor buying reversal

A profitable high-volume wallet is buying the beaten-down side in a near-close S&P market after a 180x volume spike and sharp repricing.

  • This wallet is up $116k lifetime across $3.6M traded, despite winning only 46% of resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 180x volume spike and a rapid move against Down, creating a possible reversal entry at 20¢.
  • This resolves today, so the bet is on a near-term S&P move with only a few hours left.

$1,006 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdefe...17f4 Outcome 34398234, $36,702 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xbfb3...4b43 Outcome 34398234, $7,000 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x50c8...caa2 Outcome 34398234, $6,083
  4. 0xf66f...352c Outcome 34398234, $5,897
  5. 0xbe4e...d0c6 Outcome 34398234, $4,549 (45% win rate)
  6. 0xeadf...26ef Outcome 34398234, $4,230 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x6e6b...9390 Outcome 34398234, $1,302
  8. 0x8460...63e3 Outcome 34398234, $857
  9. 0x018a...99d3 Outcome 34398234, $772
  10. 0x35e7...24e8 Outcome 34398234, $627 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

SPY hits 750 not 760

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

SPY closes below 740

Covers 2 related markets

SPY closes above 740

Covers 2 related markets

SPY closes below $750

Covers 2 related markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

ResolvedS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?$5,574 tracked4 signalsSPXDailyUp or DownIndiciesHide From NewFinanceDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 1, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 1, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

21d ago

$1,200 on Down at 20¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

21d ago

$1,156 on Down at 20¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

21d ago

$2,212 on Down at 20¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

21d ago

$1,006 on Down at 20¢

Related Theses