Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?
This Polymarket market asks whether the official S&P 500 Index (SPX) closing price on Monday, June 1, 2026 will be higher or lower than its close on the most recent prior trading day. PolySpotter is tracking $1,040 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial macro bettor. The market resolves after the official SPX close on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, June 1, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, June 1, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,040.
Categories: Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1), Up or Down, Indicies, SPX, Daily, Finance, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable high-volume trader bought Up in a very thin SPX daily market, with the bet dwarfing the day’s prior volume.
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades across 1,702 bets and is up $111k lifetime.
- The $1,040 buy is about 20x this market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see SPX finishing higher Monday as better than a coin flip.
$1,040 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xdefe...17f4 — Up, $2,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xfdfc...288c — Down, $2,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x8a88...e55d — Up, $42
- 0x0a6e...00b9 — Down, $42
- 0xf4bf...23f6 — Up, $21 (59% win rate)
- 0x211f...8e0f — Down, $21
- 0x6fd6...9af8 — Up, $18
- 0x06ce...0b8b — Down, $18
- 0x9e62...9d88 — Up, $10
- 0xe148...eb00 — Down, $10
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