Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, compared with the prior trading day's official close. PolySpotter is tracking $1,045 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable macro bettor.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,045.

Categories: Up or Down, Indicies, SPX, Daily, Finance, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable macro bettor

Profitable high-volume trader made a market-moving buy on a very thin SPX daily market, with strong lifetime results and serial cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 1,754 resolved trades and is up $130,709 lifetime.
  • They put $1,045 into a market with only $29 of 24h volume, a very large bet for this order book.
  • Entry at 52¢ has already moved to 58¢, suggesting the market followed their position.

$1,045 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfdfc...288c Down, $2,035 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xdefe...17f4 Up, $2,025 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xa15b...d178 Up, $276
  4. 0xf4bf...23f6 Down, $175 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x6cef...af02 Down, $97
  6. 0xadb4...1295 Down, $79
  7. 0x8a88...e55d Up, $63
  8. 0x0a6e...00b9 Down, $41
  9. 0xcdaa...8b5c Up, $40
  10. 0x5d63...9075 Down, $30

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SPY will fall June 3

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S&P 500 rises June 16

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?

21hS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?$1,045 tracked1 signalUp or DownIndiciesSPXDailyFinanceHide From NewDaily-Close
Up
51¢
Down
50¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Up
62¢
56¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?

1h ago

$1,045 on Up at 52¢

52¢51¢1¢

Related Theses