Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 versus the most recent prior trading day. It resolves after the official SPX closing price is available on June 3, 2026, with live odds on the market page reflecting trader expectations. PolySpotter is tracking $1,649 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,649.

Categories: SPX, Up or Down, Indicies, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1), Daily, Finance, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable trader in thin market

A profitable, experienced wallet bought Up on an extremely thin SPX daily market with a bet nearly 6x the market's entire 24h volume.

  • This experienced bettor is up $13.4k across 236 resolved markets.
  • Their $1.65k buy was nearly 6x the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • Entry at 55¢ suggests they see SPX Up as underpriced despite the thin book.

$1,649 on Up | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6b08...bb8e Up, $3,024 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xfdfc...288c Down, $3,000 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x3559...daf4 Down, $200
  4. 0x9e62...9d88 Up, $103
  5. 0x5d63...9075 Down, $95
  6. 0x06ce...0b8b Up, $66
  7. 0x4a5d...17ad Up, $31 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xbb9a...8ce3 Up, $29
  9. 0xc6bc...8621 Up, $18
  10. 0xd992...985a Up, $18

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?

21hS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?$1,649 tracked1 signalSPXUp or DownIndiciesHide From NewRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)DailyFinanceDaily-Close
Up
55¢
Down
46¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Up
57¢
53¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?

2h ago

$1,649 on Up at 55¢

55¢55¢