Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?

This Polymarket market predicts whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 compared with its most recent prior trading day. It resolves “Up” if the official SPX closing price is higher and “Down” if it is lower, with resolution scheduled for the U.S. market close on May 13, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,163 in smart money activity, including a recent signal that a sharp trader exited a Down position.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,163.

Categories: Up or Down, Indicies, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50, SPX, Daily, Finance, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Sharp trader exits Down

A highly profitable 79% lifetime winner and serial cross-market trader is exiting Down after a major move toward Up, making the equivalent copy trade BUY Up at 82¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $113.9K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events, with $166K traded and the same 79% hit rate.
  • Selling Down at 18¢ after a sharp price move is equivalent to backing Up at 82¢.

$1,163 on Up | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9f3c...d862 Up, $16,999 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x969f...4d55 Down, $13,687 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xeadf...26ef Up, $2,841
  4. 0x959d...de65 Up, $2,810
  5. 0xdefe...17f4 Down, $2,473 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xb0d9...a88d Up, $2,130
  7. 0xe5f0...dc1d Down, $2,000 (24% win rate)
  8. 0xa308...4501 Down, $1,952
  9. 0x1030...3e3a Up, $1,650
  10. 0x15fb...252d Up, $1,600 (56% win rate)

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Oviedo Getafe ends level

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?

1hS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?$1,163 tracked1 signalUp or DownIndiciesHide From NewRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50SPXDailyFinanceDaily-Close
Up
86¢
Down
14¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Up
88¢
67¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?

2h ago

$1,163 on Up at 82¢

82¢86¢4¢

Related Theses