Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on Tuesday, May 26, 2026, compared with its most recent prior trading-day close. PolySpotter is tracking $3,374 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial macro bettor. The market resolves after the official SPX closing price is available on May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,374.

Categories: SPX, Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, Finance, Daily-Close, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market trading pattern bought SPX Up at 87¢ despite already-elevated odds and strong recent momentum.

  • This bettor has 1,685 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up about $72.7K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market pattern: 26 events and about $197K traded across related markets.
  • They bought Up at 87¢ after the market had already moved sharply higher, signaling continued conviction.

$3,374 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdefe...17f4 Up, $22,151 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x4818...bf0b Down, $13,148 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xe157...51eb Down, $6,000
  4. 0xfdfc...288c Down, $3,000
  5. 0xdb15...3d37 Up, $1,769
  6. 0x7365...64da Up, $1,726 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x0e68...826b Down, $1,182
  8. 0xf4bf...23f6 Down, $999 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xfb59...83f9 Up, $731 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x06ce...0b8b Down, $580

Related Theses

SPY rises on May 22

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 rises May 26

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

1dS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?$3,374 tracked1 signalSPXUp or DownDailyIndiciesFinanceHide From NewDaily-CloseRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Up
87¢
Down
14¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Up
88¢
64¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

2h ago

$3,374 on Up at 87¢

87¢87¢

Related Theses