Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on Thursday, May 28, 2026 compared with the most recent prior trading day. It resolves using the official S&P 500 closing price, with $2,411 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal currently noted on PolySpotter.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, May 28, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, May 28, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,411.

Categories: SPX, Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, Finance, Daily-Close, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro bettor

A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Up in a very quiet SPX daily market with a bet larger than the market's entire 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades across 1,694 bets and is up $91k lifetime.
  • The $2.4k buy was bigger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet book.
  • They have traded 26 related events with $200k deployed, suggesting a repeat macro-trading pattern.

$2,411 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdefe...17f4 Up, $6,848 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xfdfc...288c Down, $4,801 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x50c8...caa2 Up, $1,445
  4. 0xf9e1...0458 Down, $1,329
  5. 0xebe6...9278 Down, $818
  6. 0x0e68...826b Down, $625
  7. 0xf4bf...23f6 Down, $200 (59% win rate)
  8. 0x0cd3...52d7 Down, $119
  9. 0xa3e2...fdf8 Up, $109
  10. 0x5182...0120 Down, $100

Related Theses

SPY rises on May 22

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 rises May 28

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 rises May 26

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

14hS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?$2,411 tracked1 signalSPXUp or DownDailyIndiciesFinanceHide From NewDaily-CloseRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)
Up
36¢
Down
65¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, May 28, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, May 28, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Down
66¢
50¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

4h ago

$2,411 on Up at 51¢

51¢36¢15¢

Related Theses