Part of: S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,402.

Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Profitable wallet in thin market

A large buy on a very quiet SPY threshold market from a high-volume profitable wallet, with the bet dwarfing prior 24h activity and coinciding with a sharp price move.

  • This bettor is up $21k lifetime across nearly $1.9M traded, despite a mixed hit rate.
  • The $3.4k Yes buy was over 90x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • Yes has jumped 37.5 percentage points today, and this trade entered at 86¢ with current odds near 88¢.

$3,402 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa540...0b43 Yes, $6,342 (41% win rate)
  2. 0x131c...6816 No, $2,339 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xd01f...ce7a No, $2,189 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x38d8...ea7c No, $1,426 (44% win rate)
  5. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $500 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x5115...1ea8 Yes, $217
  7. 0x65d7...19c4 No, $150
  8. 0xf093...a4d3 Yes, $141 (40% win rate)
  9. 0x628b...b84f No, $138
  10. 0xa2a7...6019 No, $100

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?

4hS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?$3,402 tracked1 signalFinanceEquitiesStocksDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceEquity Daily PythSPYRewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Yes
79¢
No
22¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

Price History — “Yes
95¢
62¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?

2h ago

$3,402 on Yes at 86¢

86¢79¢7¢

Related Theses