Part of: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova

Sabalenka vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5

This Polymarket market covers whether the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Linda Noskova US Open WTA match will feature 22 or more total games. It resolves to Over at 22+ games and Under at 21 or fewer, with tiebreaks counting as one game. The match is scheduled for September 8, 2026, and the market currently shows one smart money signal, with a sharp trader scaling into Over.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,932.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sharp scaling into Over

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $3,932 to an Over position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 669 resolved trades and is up $371,046 lifetime.
  • The $3,932 purchase is more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Over 21.5 games.
  • This adds to an existing $7,283 Over position, suggesting increased conviction rather than routine position management.

$3,932 on Over | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 97751237, $5,340 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x5213...6a35 Outcome 97751237, $1,087 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 97751237, $766 (74% win rate)
  4. 0xc9ce...1533 Outcome 97751237, $540
  5. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 97751237, $463 (84% win rate)
  6. 0x1443...9e05 Outcome 97751237, $200
  7. 0xc4fe...601f Outcome 97751237, $74
  8. 0x2914...aff6 Outcome 97751237, $42
  9. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 97751237, $28 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x83da...41f7 Outcome 97751237, $20

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Sabalenka vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5

3dUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova$3,932 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Under
61¢
53¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Sabalenka vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5

3d ago

$3,932 on Over at 54¢

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