Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,466.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

92% winner adds to Padres position

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge added to an existing Padres position despite a sharp price disadvantage.

This bettor has won 92% of 224 resolved positions and is up $307,604 lifetime.
They added $2,500 to an existing Padres position, reinforcing conviction rather than taking a routine first-time stake.
The trade came during a 10.1x volume spike, although the entry has since fallen from 59% to 52%.

$1,500 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 92%

94% winner adding to Arizona

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.46M profit is adding to an existing Arizona position at 45¢.

This bettor has won 94% of 7,425 resolved positions and earned $1.46M in profit.
The wallet is adding $1,127 to an existing Arizona position at 45¢, below the current 48¢ price.
The bettor’s average entry price is 60¢ on winning positions, indicating a substantial long-term edge beyond simply backing favorites.

$1,127 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 95%

92% winner adds to Padres position

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge added to an existing Padres position despite a sharp price disadvantage.

This bettor has won 92% of 224 resolved positions and is up $307,604 lifetime.
They added $2,500 to an existing Padres position, reinforcing conviction rather than taking a routine first-time stake.
The trade came during a 10.1x volume spike, although the entry has since fallen from 59% to 52%.

$2,500 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite bettor leads Arizona cluster

Three wallets bought Arizona, including a 94% winner with a large proven edge, while the market moved from roughly 47% to 56%.

A bettor with 7,425 resolved positions wins 94% of trades and is up $1.46M, buying Arizona at 47¢.
Three wallets invested $4,773 on Arizona, with all entries between 43¢ and 48¢.
Arizona rose to roughly 56% after the coordinated buying, supporting the direction of the trade.

$4,773 on Arizona Diamondbacks

Four-wallet Padres buying cluster

A large four-wallet Padres buying cluster and 70.6x volume spike show strong coordinated conviction, with one participating wallet holding a 95% win rate over 22 resolved bets.

Four wallets committed $86,866 to the Padres at 57¢, including one bettor with a 95% win rate across 22 resolved positions.
Trading volume reached 70.6 times its historical average, providing strong confirmation of concentrated interest.
Most participating wallets are adding to existing Padres positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position opening.

$16,566 on San Diego Padres

Top Holders

0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 10265748, $43,319 (94% win rate)
0xc2d7...7615 — Outcome 10265748, $34,730
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10265748, $12,833 (64% win rate)
0xf7c4...5919 — Outcome 10265748, $12,535
0x5ad4...6866 — Outcome 10265748, $11,111 (57% win rate)
0x18bb...e5cd — Outcome 10265748, $11,076 (67% win rate)
0x2805...76ed — Outcome 10265748, $10,366 (44% win rate)
0xc0df...5974 — Outcome 10265748, $8,992 (92% win rate)
0x0eb7...1f17 — Outcome 10265748, $6,658 (58% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 10265748, $5,818 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

ResolvedSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$26,466 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 5 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

59-56

Final

ARI

61-54

SD -128ARI +120O/U 8.5

Venue

Chase Field, Phoenix

Attendance

17,559

Price History — “Arizona Diamondbacks”

102¢

72¢