Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
This Polymarket market covers the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB game scheduled for July 23 at 12:15 PM ET. The market data shows smart-money activity leaning toward Atlanta, including signals from high win-rate bettors; it resolves after the game is completed, or 50-50 if the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $151,034.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
98% winner scaling into Atlanta
A highly successful serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $70,000 to an existing Atlanta Braves position at 70%.
- This bettor has won 78 of 80 resolved trades and is up $359,598.
- They are adding $70,000 to an existing Braves position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- The 70¢ entry implies the bettor still sees meaningful value despite Atlanta already being a 70% favorite.
$70,000 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 98%
99% winner leads Braves cluster
Three wallets concentrated $36,263 on Atlanta, including a bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge.
- A bettor with 99% wins across 397 resolved positions bought Atlanta at 69¢.
- Three wallets bought Atlanta together for $36,263, with one adding to a $73,856 existing position.
- The 69¢ entry implies roughly a 2.4x payout if Atlanta wins, while the market is near 70% odds.
$19,533 on Atlanta Braves
99% win-rate serial bettor backs Atlanta
An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and 397 resolved positions is making a fresh $1,250 bet on Atlanta at 69%.
- This bettor has won 392 of 397 resolved positions and is up $348,283.
- The wallet has traded across 303 events, indicating a sustained and unusually strong track record.
- Atlanta was bought at 69¢, close to the current 70% market odds, with a 1¢ spread and substantial liquidity.
$1,250 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp bettor scales into Atlanta
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate added $34,658 to an existing Braves position amid an enormous volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of 2,190 resolved positions and is up $3.88 million.
- They added $34,658 to Atlanta at 69¢, building on an existing $51,300 position.
- Trading volume was 1,844 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-game conviction.
$34,658 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% win-rate bettor adds to Atlanta
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding $11.2K to Atlanta at 69 cents.
- This bettor has won 92% of 39 resolved positions and is up $1.43 million.
- They are adding $11,249 to an existing Atlanta position, showing increased conviction despite the market pricing Atlanta near 68%.
- The trade comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 49 events with $3.62 million in total volume.
$1,548 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% win-rate bettor adds to Braves
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge added $12,797 to an existing Atlanta Braves position at 69%.
- This bettor has won 92% of 39 resolved positions and is up $1.43 million.
- They added $12,797 to an existing Atlanta Braves position at 69%, showing continued conviction.
- The entry closely matches the 68% market odds, so the strongest evidence is the bettor’s proven 34-point edge over average implied odds.
$12,797 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% win-rate bettor adds to Atlanta
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding $11.2K to Atlanta at 69 cents.
- This bettor has won 92% of 39 resolved positions and is up $1.43 million.
- They are adding $11,249 to an existing Atlanta position, showing increased conviction despite the market pricing Atlanta near 68%.
- The trade comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 49 events with $3.62 million in total volume.
$11,249 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xc2bd...7776 — Outcome 65040687, $74,200 (100% win rate)
- 0xc4c6...6b56 — Outcome 65040687, $20,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 65040687, $18,155
- 0xae5c...5df7 — Outcome 65040687, $13,892 (63% win rate)
- 0xdb25...eb12 — Outcome 65040687, $6,425 (50% win rate)
- 0xde49...fe85 — Outcome 65040687, $6,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x58b9...ee8b — Outcome 65040687, $5,700 (92% win rate)
- 0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 65040687, $4,750
- 0xabf5...cfeb — Outcome 65040687, $2,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x09ee...90a4 — Outcome 65040687, $1,960 (81% win rate)
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