Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

This prediction market covers the July 18 MLB matchup between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,550 in smart money and one signal, with an elite sharp backing the Padres.

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 18 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,860.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Linked wallets caught Royals surge

Three wallets, including two linked accounts, bought $12.3K of Kansas City at 47–55% before the price surged to 72%, supported by a 14x volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought $12,310 of Kansas City Royals, with two accounts sharing a funder.
  • The purchases at 47–55¢ preceded a sharp move to 72% and a 14x volume spike.
  • Two participating bettors have strong lifetime profits, though their win rates are only about 55%; one wallet was already adding to an existing position.

$12,310 on Kansas City Royals

Elite sharp backing the Padres

A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge bought the Padres despite the market moving against them.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 227 resolved trades and is up $225,187.
  • Their results significantly outperform their typical entry odds around 54–55%, indicating a proven edge.
  • The $2,550 Padres position was opened at 51¢, while the market is now 46¢ after a 6-point daily decline.

$2,550 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5e94...5ba1 San Diego Padres, $100,037 (51% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Kansas City Royals, $42,648 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 San Diego Padres, $22,726 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x16bb...8492 Kansas City Royals, $20,808 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 San Diego Padres, $17,342 (68% win rate)
  6. 0x9703...69c2 Kansas City Royals, $17,171
  7. 0x5268...135d Kansas City Royals, $17,068 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x4f29...7a7e Kansas City Royals, $14,631 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xabb8...bba3 Kansas City Royals, $13,967 (49% win rate)
  10. 0x2005...75ea Kansas City Royals, $11,597 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Athletics win high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Royals win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Braves win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Cardinals win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Cubs win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win high-scoring blowout

Covers 4 related markets

Athletics win by multiple runs

Covers 1 related market

Padres Will Beat Royals

Covers 1 related market

Cubs win low-scoring game

Covers 2 related markets

Twins win high-scoring game

Covers 2 related markets

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

6dSan Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals$14,860 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Diego Padres
28¢
Kansas City Royals
72¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 18 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
0
48-49
Live
2
1-2, 1 out
KC
2
39-59
SD -110KC -109O/U 11Polymarket: 28¢
Venue
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Weather
92° Mostly sunny
Price History — “Kansas City Royals
74¢
60¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

16h ago

$12,310 on Kansas City Royals at 52¢

52¢72¢20¢

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

16h ago

$2,550 on San Diego Padres at 51¢

51¢28¢23¢

Related Theses