Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,877.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into Miami

A serial cross-market trader added $27.7K to an existing Marlins position as the market moved sharply toward Miami, though the wallet's 60% win rate offers only modest evidence of edge.

  • This wallet has traded across 684 events and is up $657,601 lifetime on more than $8.6M invested.
  • It added $27,735 to an existing Miami position while Miami's odds rose roughly 20 percentage points.
  • The 60% win rate is respectable but only modestly above the wallet's typical 58¢ winning entry price.

$30,544 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 62%

Serial trader scaling into Miami

A serial cross-market trader added $27.7K to an existing Marlins position as the market moved sharply toward Miami, though the wallet's 60% win rate offers only modest evidence of edge.

  • This wallet has traded across 684 events and is up $657,601 lifetime on more than $8.6M invested.
  • It added $27,735 to an existing Miami position while Miami's odds rose roughly 20 percentage points.
  • The 60% win rate is respectable but only modestly above the wallet's typical 58¢ winning entry price.

$27,735 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 62%

98% winner scaling into Padres

An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate added substantially to an existing Padres position despite the market falling to 36%.

  • This bettor has won 100 of 102 trades, is up $764,259, and typically buys at an average 44% price.
  • They added $7,359 to an existing $16,000 Padres position at 50%, showing continued conviction after the market fell to 36%.
  • The wallet has traded across 74 events and 79 markets, providing a substantial record behind this position.

$7,359 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 92%

93% win-rate bettor adds to Padres

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $20,700 to an existing Padres position at 46 cents.

  • This bettor wins 93% of 336 resolved positions and is up $2.06 million.
  • They are scaling into the Padres at 46¢ despite already holding $45,000 at the same average entry.
  • The 46¢ price is below the market's 54% implied chance for Miami, offering substantial upside if the bettor's edge is real.

$1,540 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% win-rate bettor adds to Padres

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $20,700 to an existing Padres position at 46 cents.

  • This bettor wins 93% of 336 resolved positions and is up $2.06 million.
  • They are scaling into the Padres at 46¢ despite already holding $45,000 at the same average entry.
  • The 46¢ price is below the market's 54% implied chance for Miami, offering substantial upside if the bettor's edge is real.

$20,700 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1e77...8c33 Outcome 22507767, $80,000 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 22507767, $14,500 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xd104...acef Outcome 22507767, $10,000 (90% win rate)
  4. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 22507767, $7,500 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x9015...281f Outcome 22507767, $5,289 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xc463...9a2f Outcome 22507767, $5,275 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x2ca1...ddcd Outcome 22507767, $5,002 (43% win rate)
  8. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 22507767, $2,340 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 22507767, $1,917 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 22507767, $1,116

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

Cubs dominate a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown

Covers 3 related markets

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

ResolvedSan Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$87,877 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 26 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
5
53-53
Final
MIA
3
52-54
SD -104MIA -115O/U 8.5
Venue
loanDepot park, Miami
Attendance
21,675
Price History — “San Diego Padres
102¢
69¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

47d ago

$30,544 on Miami Marlins at 62¢

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

47d ago

$27,735 on Miami Marlins at 62¢

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

47d ago

$7,359 on San Diego Padres at 50¢

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

47d ago

$1,540 on San Diego Padres at 46¢

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

47d ago

$20,700 on San Diego Padres at 46¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Rays win, total not eight
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …
Cubs dominate a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…
High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…