San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

This Polymarket tracks the April 8 MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50. Smart money activity has been modest so far, with recent alerts highlighting betting interest on the Pirates.

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for April 8 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,432.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Serial event bettor at even odds

Surface this because a high-volume serial cross-market bettor with positive P&L bought Pittsburgh at even odds during an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This wallet has bet across 43 related markets and is up $166k overall.
  • They bought Pittsburgh at 50¢, so the thesis is that the game is mispriced as a coin flip.
  • The bet landed during a huge pre-game volume surge, with market activity running 12,664x normal.

$6,735 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 64%

Serial bettor backs Pirates

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a positive track record just put $75.7k on the Pirates in a market that was extremely quiet before their trades triggered a major volume spike.

  • This wallet has bet $4.0M across 42 markets and is up $166k with a 64% win rate
  • They bought $75.7k of Pittsburgh at 50-51¢ after the market had only $2.2k of 24h volume
  • Their trades helped trigger a huge pregame volume surge, showing real conviction rather than routine sizing

$75,698 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xead1...c76a San Diego Padres, $83,572 (48% win rate)
  2. 0x37c1...c53a San Diego Padres, $79,116 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x3b5c...126e Pittsburgh Pirates, $61,000 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x93ab...9723 Pittsburgh Pirates, $60,000 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xc807...c12b San Diego Padres, $53,806 (46% win rate)
  6. 0xa710...23c4 San Diego Padres, $34,238 (55% win rate)
  7. 0xadfa...324e Pittsburgh Pirates, $15,000 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x842a...7422 Pittsburgh Pirates, $12,235 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xe790...eadc Pittsburgh Pirates, $11,991
  10. 0x507e...beae Pittsburgh Pirates, $10,050 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

7d$82,432 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Diego Padres
52¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
49¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for April 8 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “San Diego Padres
54¢
48¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

2h ago

$6,735 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 50¢

50¢49¢1¢

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

2h ago

$75,698 on Pittsburgh Pirates at 51¢

51¢49¢2¢

Related Theses

Padres vs Pirates Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter