Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $124,717.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
77% winner fading favorite
A proven profitable sports-style trader with a 77% win rate bought Pirates at 45¢ alongside two other wallets in the same direction, and the market has since moved sharply against that entry to 10¢, making it a notable but aggressive contrarian signal to study.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3.53M lifetime.
- Three wallets piled into Pittsburgh together for nearly $11.9k total, showing shared conviction.
- They bought the Pirates at 45¢ while the market now prices them at 10¢, making this a high-risk contrarian entry.
$1,809 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 79%
4-wallet dogpile on underdog
A 4-wallet cluster piled into the Pirates side against a heavily favored Padres price, including one wallet with a 77% win rate and $3.5M profit plus linked-wallet coordination.
- Four wallets all hit the Pirates side for $12.4k while the market priced them at just 5%.
- One of the bettors wins 77% of trades and is up $3.5M, giving this underdog bet more credibility.
- Two trades sold Padres at 88-89¢, which is equivalent to buying Pirates around 11-12¢.
$12,392 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Sharp 3-wallet Padres cluster
Three wallets piled into the Padres side, including a serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate over 2,493 resolved markets and over $1.5M in profit.
- Three wallets all hit the Padres side for $6.7k in a short window.
- One bettor wins 73% of 2,493 resolved markets and is up $1.53M lifetime.
- They bought around 52-53¢ while the market now offers 48-49¢, giving a slightly better follow price.
$6,702 on San Diego Padres
3-wallet Padres steam
Three wallets piled into the Padres before a huge move from 50-72¢ to 90¢, and one of the participants has a strong 74% hit rate, making this coordinated steam worth surfacing despite the market being liquid.
- Three wallets all hit the Padres side within minutes, including one bettor who wins 74% of 174 resolved trades
- They bought at 50¢ and 72¢ before the market jumped to 90¢, a fast 22-point move
- The group put in about $11.6k total, showing coordinated conviction rather than a single routine bet
$11,647 on San Diego Padres
73% win-rate cluster bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% win rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided buy cluster on the Padres, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 73% of 2,493 resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime
- Four wallets all bought the Padres in the same window, putting $7.9k behind one side
- They entered at 52¢, above the current 46¢ price, showing willingness to pay up for their view
$1,064 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 69%
96% win-rate sports bettor
A bettor with a 96% win rate and strong profits joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster on the Pirates, making this a sharp sports signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $35.6k on $90.6k invested
- Three wallets all bought Pittsburgh Pirates in the same scan window, signaling shared conviction
- They entered at 50¢ in a tight market, suggesting they see the Pirates as better than a coin flip
$990 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp 4-wallet Pirates cluster
A 4-wallet cluster piled into Pittsburgh around 47-51¢, led by a bettor with a 96% win rate and strong cross-market results, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
- A bettor who wins 96% of their bets led this move, with $35.6k profit across 24 resolved markets.
- Four wallets bought Pittsburgh in a tight window for $7.7k total, showing coordinated conviction on one side.
- They entered around 47-51¢ and the price is already 54¢, suggesting they caught value before the market moved.
$7,680 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Serial event bettor at even odds
Surface this because a high-volume serial cross-market bettor with positive P&L bought Pittsburgh at even odds during an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This wallet has bet across 43 related markets and is up $166k overall.
- They bought Pittsburgh at 50¢, so the thesis is that the game is mispriced as a coin flip.
- The bet landed during a huge pre-game volume surge, with market activity running 12,664x normal.
$6,735 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 87%
Serial bettor backs Pirates
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a positive track record just put $75.7k on the Pirates in a market that was extremely quiet before their trades triggered a major volume spike.
- This wallet has bet $4.0M across 42 markets and is up $166k with a 64% win rate
- They bought $75.7k of Pittsburgh at 50-51¢ after the market had only $2.2k of 24h volume
- Their trades helped trigger a huge pregame volume surge, showing real conviction rather than routine sizing
$75,698 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 11214632, $18,888 (75% win rate)
- 0xf402...df7c — Outcome 11214632, $10,533 (97% win rate)
- 0x3f62...570c — Outcome 11214632, $5,883
- 0xb6ae...4df8 — Outcome 11214632, $5,620 (85% win rate)
- 0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 11214632, $4,541 (67% win rate)
- 0xd38a...8d26 — Outcome 11214632, $4,009 (79% win rate)
- 0xc58a...b8f8 — Outcome 11214632, $2,329 (77% win rate)
- 0x8cb3...8ed1 — Outcome 11214632, $2,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xbce9...03e9 — Outcome 11214632, $1,225
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 11214632, $1,022
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
Covers 9 related markets
