Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $104,713.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

80% sports winner bought move

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Padres before a fast move from 79¢ to 88¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $23,275 lifetime.
They bought San Diego at 79¢ before the market jumped to 88¢ within minutes.
Their track record beats implied odds by about 20 points across 292 resolved bets.

$1,831 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 78%

Three-wallet Nationals fade

Three wallets are taking the contrarian Nationals side after a sharp Padres price run-up, with one participant showing strong lifetime profits despite mixed records across the cluster.

Three wallets are effectively buying Washington at about 11¢ by selling Padres near 90¢.
One wallet in the cluster is up $353K lifetime across 383 resolved bets.
They are fading a big Padres move after the price jumped 38% in a day.

$11,005 on Washington Nationals

80% winner chasing Padres

Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 80% record bought Padres at 83¢ before the market moved to 90¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $71K lifetime.
They bought Padres at 83¢ before the price jumped to 90¢.
Their long record covers 898 resolved bets, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

$1,200 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 79%

Six-wallet sharp steam move

Six wallets, including several highly profitable sports traders, bought the Padres in size before a sharp 35-point move and an 11x volume spike.

Several proven bettors joined the same side, including one wallet up $13.7M lifetime and another up $649K.
Six wallets bought $32.6K of the same outcome as the price jumped from around 50¢ to 82¢.
Volume was 11x normal, suggesting this was a coordinated pre-game move rather than random flow.

$32,645 on San Diego Padres

95% winner fading Padres

A proven sharp MLB bettor with a 95% resolved win rate sold out of Padres at 49¢ before the price fell to 38¢, effectively favoring Washington at 51¢.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $8.4K lifetime.
They sold Padres at 49¢ after entering at 28¢, and the price has already dropped to 38¢.
The equivalent copy is Washington at 51¢, but current odds are slightly above the suggested chase limit.

$1,730 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a large sample bought Washington at 49¢ before the price moved to 62¢.

This bettor is up about $202K lifetime across 365 resolved trades.
They have traded 69 events and win 69% of resolved bets, showing a long-running sports edge.
They bought Washington at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.

$2,000 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long track record bought $20.5k of Nationals amid a 32.7x pre-game volume spike.

This bettor has won 60% of 406 resolved trades and is up $1.13M lifetime.
They put $20.5k on the Nationals at 52¢ shortly before the game window.
Market volume spiked 32.7x versus its historical average, adding momentum behind the trade.

$20,511 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp sports wallet with an 88% record and $67.4k profit is buying Padres at 49¢ in a liquid MLB market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $67,400 lifetime.
They have made cross-market bets across 36 sports events with the same 88% hit rate.
Entry at 49¢ implies they see the Padres as underpriced near even odds.

$3,675 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a 67% win rate and $206k lifetime profit is buying Washington in a liquid MLB market.

This bettor has won 67% of 1,013 resolved bets and is up $206,837 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $626,092 flagged across 117 events.
Entry at 52¢ implies they see Washington as slightly mispriced despite a deep market.

$1,971 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 43%

Profitable serial bettor

A highly active, profitable serial cross-market bettor with over $2.0M lifetime profit is buying Padres at 49¢.

This bettor is up over $2.0M lifetime across 3,163 resolved markets.
They win 68% of resolved trades while deploying more than $21M total.
Entry at 49¢ implies nearly even odds on the Padres despite the market leaning Nationals.

$3,333 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 85893158, $69,443 (63% win rate)
0xd38a...8d26 — Outcome 85893158, $48,077 (83% win rate)
0xd45c...36c4 — Outcome 85893158, $44,501
0x9770...0ff5 — Outcome 85893158, $15,000 (63% win rate)
0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 85893158, $14,518 (83% win rate)
0x021c...232f — Outcome 85893158, $11,640 (99% win rate)
0x6879...a58d — Outcome 85893158, $9,910
0xb38f...5048 — Outcome 85893158, $8,717 (95% win rate)
0xdaaf...051b — Outcome 85893158, $5,573 (63% win rate)
0x1d5c...4f26 — Outcome 85893158, $4,075 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

France routs England in high-scoring match

Covers 9 related markets

France or England win World Cup

Covers 4 related markets

England rout Ghana in goalfest

Covers 9 related markets

South Africa-Korea market mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Netherlands rout Tunisia early

Covers 9 related markets

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

ResolvedSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$104,713 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 29 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

32-24

Final

WSH

29-29

SD -104WSH -116O/U 9.5

Venue

Nationals Park, Washington

Attendance

26,529