Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

This prediction market covers the May 29 MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $28,682 in smart money activity, with recent signals including sharp wallets buying Padres and profitable bettors also showing interest around an underdog move. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie.

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 29 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,882.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Nationals fade

Three wallets are taking the contrarian Nationals side after a sharp Padres price run-up, with one participant showing strong lifetime profits despite mixed records across the cluster.

  • Three wallets are effectively buying Washington at about 11¢ by selling Padres near 90¢.
  • One wallet in the cluster is up $353K lifetime across 383 resolved bets.
  • They are fading a big Padres move after the price jumped 38% in a day.

$11,005 on Washington Nationals

80% winner chasing Padres

Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 80% record bought Padres at 83¢ before the market moved to 90¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $71K lifetime.
  • They bought Padres at 83¢ before the price jumped to 90¢.
  • Their long record covers 898 resolved bets, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

$1,200 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 80%

Six-wallet sharp steam move

Six wallets, including several highly profitable sports traders, bought the Padres in size before a sharp 35-point move and an 11x volume spike.

  • Several proven bettors joined the same side, including one wallet up $13.7M lifetime and another up $649K.
  • Six wallets bought $32.6K of the same outcome as the price jumped from around 50¢ to 82¢.
  • Volume was 11x normal, suggesting this was a coordinated pre-game move rather than random flow.

$32,645 on San Diego Padres

95% winner fading Padres

A proven sharp MLB bettor with a 95% resolved win rate sold out of Padres at 49¢ before the price fell to 38¢, effectively favoring Washington at 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $8.4K lifetime.
  • They sold Padres at 49¢ after entering at 28¢, and the price has already dropped to 38¢.
  • The equivalent copy is Washington at 51¢, but current odds are slightly above the suggested chase limit.

$1,730 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a large sample bought Washington at 49¢ before the price moved to 62¢.

  • This bettor is up about $202K lifetime across 365 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 69 events and win 69% of resolved bets, showing a long-running sports edge.
  • They bought Washington at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.

$2,000 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long track record bought $20.5k of Nationals amid a 32.7x pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 60% of 406 resolved trades and is up $1.13M lifetime.
  • They put $20.5k on the Nationals at 52¢ shortly before the game window.
  • Market volume spiked 32.7x versus its historical average, adding momentum behind the trade.

$20,511 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp sports wallet with an 88% record and $67.4k profit is buying Padres at 49¢ in a liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $67,400 lifetime.
  • They have made cross-market bets across 36 sports events with the same 88% hit rate.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies they see the Padres as underpriced near even odds.

$3,675 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a 67% win rate and $206k lifetime profit is buying Washington in a liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 1,013 resolved bets and is up $206,837 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $626,092 flagged across 117 events.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies they see Washington as slightly mispriced despite a deep market.

$1,971 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial bettor

A highly active, profitable serial cross-market bettor with over $2.0M lifetime profit is buying Padres at 49¢.

  • This bettor is up over $2.0M lifetime across 3,163 resolved markets.
  • They win 68% of resolved trades while deploying more than $21M total.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies nearly even odds on the Padres despite the market leaning Nationals.

$3,333 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp MLB winner

Sharp MLB bettor with an 83% record and $176k lifetime profit bought Padres at 49¢ despite the market leaning slightly Nationals.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $176k lifetime.
  • They have 370 resolved positions, so the track record is much stronger than a small-sample hot streak.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies roughly even odds, while this wallet has historically beaten market prices by a wide margin.

$1,225 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb91a...3987 San Diego Padres, $166,666 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xd959...daf7 Washington Nationals, $150,000 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 San Diego Padres, $143,569 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xb45a...192c San Diego Padres, $94,545 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x3dfb...abaf Washington Nationals, $73,131 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x7a88...41cc Washington Nationals, $69,443 (60% win rate)
  7. 0xd38a...8d26 Washington Nationals, $48,077 (82% win rate)
  8. 0xd45c...36c4 Washington Nationals, $44,501
  9. 0x84cf...2f63 Washington Nationals, $30,418 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xd38c...1128 San Diego Padres, $25,102 (43% win rate)

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San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

6dSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$102,882 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Diego Padres
90¢
Washington Nationals
11¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 29 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
32-24
WSH
29-29
SD -136WSH +113O/U 7.5Polymarket: 90¢
Price History — “San Diego Padres
82¢
56¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

17h ago

$11,005 on Washington Nationals at 11¢

11¢11¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

17h ago

$1,200 on San Diego Padres at 83¢

83¢90¢7¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

17h ago

$32,645 on San Diego Padres at 55¢

55¢90¢35¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

18h ago

$1,730 on Washington Nationals at 51¢

51¢11¢40¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

19h ago

$2,000 on Washington Nationals at 49¢

49¢11¢38¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

20h ago

$20,511 on Washington Nationals at 52¢

52¢11¢41¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

21h ago

$3,675 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢90¢41¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

23h ago

$1,971 on Washington Nationals at 52¢

52¢11¢41¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

23h ago

$3,333 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢90¢41¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

1d ago

$1,225 on San Diego Padres at 49¢

49¢90¢41¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

20h ago

$15,302 on Washington Nationals at 46¢

46¢11¢35¢

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals

1d ago

$8,284 on Washington Nationals at 50¢

50¢11¢39¢

Related Theses