Part of: San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 21 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,111.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Giants

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader is buying the Giants at 31% despite a recent market decline, though the alert lacks strong coordination or timing signals.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 3,809 resolved trades and is up $1.28 million lifetime.
  • They are buying San Francisco at 31% while the market prices the Giants near 34%, after a 14-point one-day drop.
  • The trade is modest relative to this liquid market, so it is a useful signal to study rather than a high-conviction whale move.

$1,400 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial trader buys Giants

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader is buying the Giants at 31% despite a recent market decline, though the alert lacks strong coordination or timing signals.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 3,809 resolved trades and is up $1.28 million lifetime.
  • They are buying San Francisco at 31% while the market prices the Giants near 34%, after a 14-point one-day drop.
  • The trade is modest relative to this liquid market, so it is a useful signal to study rather than a high-conviction whale move.

$1,201 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 67%

84% Win-Rate Serial Trader

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $4,160 bet on the Giants at 52%.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 235 resolved trades and earned $243,552 in profit.
  • The trader’s results substantially exceed their average entry odds of 55%, indicating a meaningful edge.
  • A fresh $4,160 Giants position was opened at 52% in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$4,160 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 85%

91% win-rate sharp backs Kansas City

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $3,675 buy on Kansas City at 49%.

  • This bettor wins 91% of 3,968 resolved positions and is up $2.54 million.
  • The $3,675 Kansas City buy was placed at 49%, despite the market being nearly even.
  • The bet represents more than three times the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction from a serial cross-market trader.

$3,675 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% win-rate sharp backs Kansas City

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $3,675 buy on Kansas City at 49%.

  • This bettor wins 91% of 3,968 resolved positions and is up $2.54 million.
  • The $3,675 Kansas City buy was placed at 49%, despite the market being nearly even.
  • The bet represents more than three times the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction from a serial cross-market trader.

$3,675 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xde49...fe85 — San Francisco Giants, $8,000 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x5811...0976 — San Francisco Giants, $1,365 (45% win rate)
  3. 0x684b...8409 — San Francisco Giants, $1,011 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xc546...058e — San Francisco Giants, $764
  5. 0xa49e...e5e8 — San Francisco Giants, $721
  6. 0xeb4b...9f92 — San Francisco Giants, $500
  7. 0x049a...e348 — San Francisco Giants, $300
  8. 0xeb2e...7821 — San Francisco Giants, $274 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x7690...dfce — San Francisco Giants, $270
  10. 0x72f3...d396 — San Francisco Giants, $225

Related Theses

Bears beat Eagles outright

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Ole Miss beats LSU outright

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win high-scoring blowout

Covers 4 related markets

Royals win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Cubs win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Braves win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Athletics win high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Cardinals win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Panthers win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

SMU wins a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals$14,111 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Francisco Giants
0¢
Kansas City Royals
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 21 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SF
2
42-59
Final
KC
3
42-60
SF -112KC -108O/U 9Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Attendance
25,175

Notable Trades

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

2026-07-22 01:04 UTC

$1,400 on San Francisco Giants at 31¢

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

2026-07-22 00:49 UTC

$1,201 on San Francisco Giants at 31¢

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

2026-07-21 20:43 UTC

$4,160 on San Francisco Giants at 52¢

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

2026-07-21 20:38 UTC

$3,675 on Kansas City Royals at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

2026-07-21 20:16 UTC

$3,675 on Kansas City Royals at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Related Theses

Bears beat Eagles outright
Wallet_0x224a8 trades 3 related markets
Eagles vs. BearsSpread: Eagles (-3.5)Spread: Eagles (-4.5)
Ole Miss beats LSU outright
Wallet_0x224a8 trades 3 related markets
LSU vs. Ole MissSpread: LSU (-2.5)Spread: LSU (-3.5)
Rays win high-scoring blowout
Wallet_0xde496 trades 4 related markets
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-…Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles…Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Royals win high-scoring game
Wallet_0xde496 trades 3 related markets
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City…Houston Astros vs. Kansas City…Houston Astros vs. Kansas City…
Cubs win high-scoring game
Wallet_0xde496 trades 3 related markets
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco…Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco…Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco…
Braves win high-scoring game
Wallet_0xde496 trades 5 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego P…Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego P…Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5…
Athletics win high-scoring game
Wallet_0xde496 trades 4 related markets
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleti…Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleti…Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
Cardinals win high-scoring game
Wallet_0xde496 trades 3 related markets
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…
Panthers win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x224a8 trades 3 related markets
Bears vs. PanthersBears vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5Bears vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5
SMU wins a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x224a8 trades 4 related markets
SMU vs. Florida StateSMU vs. Florida State: O/U 53.…SMU vs. Florida State: O/U 54.…