San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,531.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Under concentration

Three experienced wallets concentrated $22.8K on Under during a 208x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite only moderate historical win rates.

  • Three wallets placed $22,835 on Under at 44¢, including two large fresh-looking trades.
  • The market saw a 208x spike versus its historical volume baseline, suggesting unusually strong pregame interest.
  • Two wallets win about 65–66% of their bets across thousands of markets, while one is adding to an existing Under position.

$22,835 on Under

99% win-rate bettor buys Over

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge opened a fresh Over position in an MLB totals market.

  • This bettor has won 2,177 of 2,200 resolved positions, with $18.1M in reported profit.
  • The wallet’s average win price is 56%, yet it wins 99% of the time—far above market-implied expectations.
  • This is a fresh $1,434 Over position at 54¢ in a liquid MLB market, consistent with the bettor’s broad multi-market activity.

$1,434 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%

Three-wallet Over accumulation

Three wallets added $15,262 to Over in a major pre-event volume spike, creating a notable coordinated sports-market signal despite weak historical profitability.

  • Three wallets bought Over for $15,262, accounting for a dramatic 1,116x spike versus typical activity.
  • All three were adding to existing Over positions near 53–54¢, showing increased conviction rather than a one-off trade.
  • The wallets do not have a strong collective track record—two are substantially unprofitable—so this is primarily a flow signal.

$15,262 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 61897231, $3,898 (66% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 61897231, $2,723 (99% win rate)
  3. 0xddb9...edcd Outcome 61897231, $2,220 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xa3b5...941a Outcome 61897231, $1,300 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xfd04...c5e1 Outcome 61897231, $1,019 (99% win rate)
  6. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 61897231, $500 (65% win rate)
  7. 0xdc9e...5a9e Outcome 61897231, $263 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x8335...e37e Outcome 61897231, $175
  9. 0x85b3...33ef Outcome 61897231, $175
  10. 0x4dd2...14c2 Outcome 61897231, $154 (96% win rate)

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Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste

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Christian Leroy Duncan will win

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Man City wins comfortably

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Bournemouth will not win

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SD Eibar will win

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Catanzaro will win

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Fluminense FC will not win

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San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

Resolved$39,531 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 3 at 12:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SF
2
58-83
Final
PIT
5
69-72
SF +144PIT -175O/U 9
Venue
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Attendance
11,578

Notable Trades

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

8d ago

$22,835 on Under at 44¢

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

8d ago

$1,434 on Over at 54¢

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

8d ago

$15,262 on Over at 54¢

Related Theses