Part of: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres, scheduled for July 30 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,627.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adds to Giants

A proven serial trader with a 77% win rate and $113,641 profit is adding to an existing Giants position as the market rises.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 90 resolved bets and is up $113,641 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into the Giants at 65¢, adding to an existing $3,864 position.
  • The Giants price has risen 18.5% in one day, supporting the trader’s direction despite the liquid market.

$3,053 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 77%

Four-wallet Giants cluster with proven winners

Four wallets bought the Giants for nearly $6,000, including two highly profitable traders, while the market has risen 25% in a day.

  • Four wallets aligned on the Giants with $5,907 of buying, including one bettor up $30.0M lifetime and another up $2.2M.
  • The buying followed a 25% one-day price increase, suggesting continued conviction rather than an isolated small wager.
  • One participant is 100% across 17 resolved bets, though that track record is still a limited sample.

$5,907 on San Francisco Giants

Profitable serial trader adds to Giants

A proven serial trader with a 77% win rate and $113,641 profit is adding to an existing Giants position as the market rises.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 90 resolved bets and is up $113,641 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into the Giants at 65¢, adding to an existing $3,864 position.
  • The Giants price has risen 18.5% in one day, supporting the trader’s direction despite the liquid market.

$1,533 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 77%

93% winner scales into Padres

A highly successful bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is adding $27,000 to an existing Padres position.

  • This bettor wins 93% of 363 resolved positions and is up $2.37 million.
  • The $27,000 purchase adds to an existing $45,000 Padres position, signaling increased conviction.
  • Their 51% average winning entry price implies a 41-point edge over market expectations across a large sample.

$27,000 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 95%

99% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh $1,835 position on San Diego at 59%.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 1,567 resolved positions while buying at average odds of 55%.
  • The wallet is up $16.4 million and has traded across 597 events, indicating a deeply established track record.
  • The fresh $1,835 Padres position was bought at 59%, near the current 60% market odds.

$1,835 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 99%

92% win-rate bettor adds to Giants

An exceptionally profitable sports bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Giants position at 43 cents.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 279 resolved positions and is up $231,339 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,300 to an existing Giants position at 43¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • The 43¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value on San Francisco despite the market pricing the Giants as underdogs.

$1,300 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 — San Diego Padres, $45,000 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xc807...c12b — San Diego Padres, $29,358 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x684b...8409 — San Diego Padres, $10,387 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xc3c3...eec8 — San Diego Padres, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x5ad4...6866 — San Diego Padres, $6,800 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x1250...8f99 — San Diego Padres, $1,873 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xe401...7b88 — San Diego Padres, $1,815 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x519d...37a1 — San Diego Padres, $1,601
  9. 0x1d3a...7b63 — San Diego Padres, $1,555 (49% win rate)
  10. 0x2de9...5289 — San Diego Padres, $1,501

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Panthers keep it close

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NATO and Russia avoid clash

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Rays win, total not eight

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San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres$40,627 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Francisco Giants
100¢
San Diego Padres
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres, scheduled for July 30 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SF
4
47-62
Final
SD
1
55-54
SF +137SD -166O/U 8Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Attendance
42,758

Notable Trades

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

2026-07-31 03:29 UTC

$3,053 on San Francisco Giants at 65¢

65¢→100¢↑35¢

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

2026-07-31 02:50 UTC

$5,907 on San Francisco Giants at 69¢

69¢→100¢↑31¢

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

2026-07-31 02:24 UTC

$1,533 on San Francisco Giants at 65¢

65¢→100¢↑35¢

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

2026-07-30 21:55 UTC

$27,000 on San Diego Padres at 60¢

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

2026-07-30 16:58 UTC

$1,835 on San Diego Padres at 59¢

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

2026-07-30 14:28 UTC

$1,300 on San Francisco Giants at 43¢

43¢→100¢↑57¢

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Marlins win, runs stay low
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Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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