Part of: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,593.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Whale adds before Giants surge

A $15,000 add-on to an existing Giants position preceded a 25-point price surge amid a 12.2x volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong historical win rate.

The wallet added $15,000 to an existing Giants position at 64¢, and the outcome has since risen to 86¢.
The trade coincided with a 12.2x volume spike and a 25-percentage-point price increase.
Its 53% win rate across 519 resolved bets is not independently compelling, so the price and volume signals are the main reasons to study this trade.

$2,500 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 53%

91% winner scaling into Giants

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate added to an existing Giants position at 75% before a 25-point price surge and major volume spike.

This bettor has won 91% of 5,752 resolved trades and is up $98,449 lifetime.
They added $1,169 to an existing Giants position at 75%, showing increased conviction before the price reached 86%.
The market saw a 12.2x volume surge and a 25-point Giants price jump, though the current price is above the trader’s entry.

$1,169 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 91%

Whale adds before Giants surge

A $15,000 add-on to an existing Giants position preceded a 25-point price surge amid a 12.2x volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong historical win rate.

The wallet added $15,000 to an existing Giants position at 64¢, and the outcome has since risen to 86¢.
The trade coincided with a 12.2x volume spike and a 25-percentage-point price increase.
Its 53% win rate across 519 resolved bets is not independently compelling, so the price and volume signals are the main reasons to study this trade.

$15,000 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 53%

Linked cluster backing Giants

Four linked wallets concentrated nearly $20,000 on the Giants, including a highly profitable 91% winner, ahead of a 42-point price surge.

Four linked wallets committed $19,545 to the Giants, with three buying and one converting a Mariners sale into equivalent Giants exposure.
One participant wins 91% of 5,752 resolved bets and is up $98,449, providing unusually strong supporting evidence.
The Giants price jumped from roughly 64% to 86% after the trades, so the original entry was substantially better than the current market price.

$19,545 on San Francisco Giants

Sharp bettor scaling into Seattle

A highly proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding nearly $6,000 to an existing Seattle position.

This bettor wins 83% of 552 resolved positions and is up $845,322 lifetime.
They are adding $5,978 to an existing Seattle position at 61¢, despite Seattle currently pricing near 62%.
The wallet has traded across 57 events, showing a repeatable cross-market track record rather than a one-off bet.

$5,978 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 83%

99% win-rate serial bettor backs Seattle

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Seattle at 60%.

This bettor has won 1,393 of 1,404 resolved trades, with a reported $15.8 million profit.
The 56% average win price versus a 99% hit rate indicates an unusually strong historical edge.
Seattle was bought at 60%, matching the market price and offering a clear copyable position.

$1,500 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettor leads Seattle cluster

Three wallets bought $28.6K of Seattle, including a highly profitable 83% winner adding to an existing position amid a 20x volume spike.

An 83% winner with 552 resolved positions and $845K profit bought Seattle at 61¢ while adding to an existing position.
Three wallets committed $28,595 to Seattle, including a $21,573 purchase, during a 20x pre-event volume spike.
The trade is concentrated but not uniformly strong: one wallet has a 61% win rate, while another is historically down money.

$3,901 on Seattle Mariners

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 96421214, $51,505 (63% win rate)
0x2e26...d96f — Outcome 96421214, $25,073 (100% win rate)
0x6db5...e279 — Outcome 96421214, $23,804 (53% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 96421214, $20,100 (68% win rate)
0xe524...d34f — Outcome 96421214, $20,000 (51% win rate)
0x0f1c...82c6 — Outcome 96421214, $20,000 (92% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 96421214, $16,160
0x56ac...d77e — Outcome 92537886, $11,840 (53% win rate)
0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 96421214, $11,542 (88% win rate)
0x0eb5...d57a — Outcome 96421214, $6,402 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste

Covers 1 related market

Christian Leroy Duncan will win

Covers 1 related market

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners

6dSan Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners$49,593 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 18 at 8:08PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

42-56

Final

SEA

49-50

SF +136SEA -164O/U 7

Venue

T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Attendance

43,485

Price History — “Seattle Mariners”

64¢

56¢