Part of: San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,566.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

96% winner leads linked Mili cluster

A strongly profitable bettor and 11-wallet linked cluster committed $55,000 to Mili Poljicak amid a massive volume spike and sharp price move.

  • A bettor with a 96% win rate across 170 resolved positions put $19,834 into Mili Poljicak at 33–45¢.
  • Eleven wallets backed Mili Poljicak with $55,000, including wallets linked through two funders.
  • Trading volume surged to 273 times its historical average while Mili’s price rose 43 percentage points.

$55,048 on Mili Poljicak

Sharp bettor scaling into Mili

A proven sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Mili Poljicak position at 33¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades, buying at an average price of 41%, and is up $32,003.
  • The wallet added $4,950 to an existing $15,311 Mili Poljicak position at 33¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • Mili has since risen to 40¢, but the trade remains below the suggested 43¢ copy ceiling.

$4,950 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp bettor adds to Muller

A proven bettor with a 75% win rate and 20% edge is adding to a Muller position despite a 31% price decline, though the trade is not especially large relative to the market.

  • This bettor has won 88 of 117 trades, with a 75% win rate and roughly 20% edge over the odds paid.
  • They added $2,000 to Alexandre Muller at 41¢ despite the market falling to 34%, signaling continued conviction.
  • The wallet has traded across 25 events and 26 markets, suggesting a repeatable multi-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$2,000 on Alexandre Muller | Wallet win rate: 79%

Elite bettor backs Poljicak

A highly experienced bettor with an 81% win rate placed a substantial $9,025 wager on Mili Poljicak before the price rose from 54% to 70%, alongside a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 2,275 resolved bets and earned $5.6M in profit.
  • They placed $9,025 on Mili Poljicak at 54%, and the outcome has since risen to 70%.
  • Trading across 582 events, this serial bettor is positioning amid a 151x volume spike.

$9,025 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor adds to Muller position

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a contrarian Muller position after a sharp price decline.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 224 resolved trades and is up $105,376 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing Alexandre Muller position at 34¢ despite the price falling 28% in one day.
  • The 34¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the market's current 38% estimate.

$1,020 on Alexandre Muller | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly active, profitable bettor made a fresh $2.5K tennis wager at 61¢, though the edge signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 401 resolved trades and is up $418,206 lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $2,523 bet on Alexandre Muller at 61¢, now trading at 64¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 461 events, providing meaningful evidence of sustained market experience.

$2,523 on Alexandre Muller | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 32900308, $80,334 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x772b...1840 Outcome 32900308, $7,186 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 32900308, $5,699 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x0a26...1851 Outcome 32900308, $5,329 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xaa77...15a5 Outcome 32900308, $4,136 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x3fa2...cf15 Outcome 32900308, $3,008 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x9a8c...ba13 Outcome 32900308, $2,188 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x9ab3...3044 Outcome 32900308, $1,662
  9. 0x370c...6929 Outcome 32900308, $1,414 (70% win rate)
  10. 0x05d9...ecd7 Outcome 32900308, $1,305 (74% win rate)

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San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

ResolvedSan Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak$74,566 tracked6 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Mili Poljicak in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Mili Poljicak. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Alexandre Muller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Mili Poljicak
102¢
66¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

8d ago

$55,048 on Mili Poljicak at 35¢

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

8d ago

$4,950 on Mili Poljicak at 33¢

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

8d ago

$2,000 on Alexandre Muller at 41¢

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

8d ago

$9,025 on Mili Poljicak at 54¢

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

8d ago

$1,020 on Alexandre Muller at 34¢

San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak

8d ago

$2,523 on Alexandre Muller at 61¢

Related Theses