Part of: San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas

San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Juan Pablo Varillas in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,322.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Elite bettor adds to Maestrelli

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge added $20,000 to an existing Maestrelli position despite the market falling to 55%.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.48 million across 54 positions.
They added $20,000 to an existing Maestrelli position at 61%, showing increased conviction despite the price falling to 55%.
The wallet has traded across 78 events and 84 markets, making this a repeatable strategy rather than an isolated wager.

$13,013 on Francesco Maestrelli | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor doubles down on Varillas

A proven, highly profitable bettor added $3,420 to an existing Varillas position amid a major volume spike, despite the market moving against the trade.

This bettor has won 81% of 32 resolved positions and earned about $15,190.
They added $3,420 to an existing $6,000 Varillas position, signaling continued conviction after the price fell from 57¢ to 44¢.
The market saw a 333x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong pre-event activity.

$3,420 on Juan Pablo Varillas | Wallet win rate: 83%

Elite bettor adds to Maestrelli

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge added $20,000 to an existing Maestrelli position despite the market falling to 55%.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.48 million across 54 positions.
They added $20,000 to an existing Maestrelli position at 61%, showing increased conviction despite the price falling to 55%.
The wallet has traded across 78 events and 84 markets, making this a repeatable strategy rather than an isolated wager.

$20,000 on Francesco Maestrelli | Wallet win rate: 91%

Two elite bettors backing Maestrelli

Two highly profitable serial bettors jointly committed nearly $35,000 to Maestrelli amid a 333x volume spike, despite the position currently trading below their roughly 62% average entry.

Two bettors with 89% and 91% win rates deployed nearly $34,700 toward Maestrelli.
Three wallets bought $35,889 together during a 333x spike in typical market activity.
The cluster entered around 62% on average, while Maestrelli now trades at 56%, creating a cheaper entry than the lead bettors received.

$35,889 on Francesco Maestrelli

96% winner adds to tennis position

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate added $4,000 to an already substantial Maestrelli position in a very thin market, though the position is currently marked well below entry.

This bettor has won 26 of 27 resolved trades and is up $72,667 lifetime.
They added $4,000 to Maestrelli in a market with only $984 of 24-hour volume, bringing total exposure above $11,000.
The position is currently underwater after Maestrelli fell from 55¢ to about 36¢, so the trade reflects strong conviction but carries clear downside risk.

$4,000 on Francesco Maestrelli | Wallet win rate: 86%