Part of: San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Mili Poljicak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,805.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.

This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.

$9,000 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 38%

Linked seven-wallet Basilashvili cluster

A seven-wallet, partially linked $40,000 Basilashvili cluster and extreme volume spike are notable, although opposing positions and the market's apparent price collapse materially weaken the copy-trade case.

Seven wallets bought Basilashvili for nearly $40,000, with two wallets sharing a funder.
The market saw a 7,118x volume spike and a 61.5-point one-day move, indicating unusually concentrated activity.
Several participants also hold Poljicak or both outcomes, while Basilashvili is now quoted at 0%, so this looks more like a high-risk event to study than a clean consensus trade.

$39,992 on Nikoloz Basilashvili

96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.

This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.

$19,000 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 38%

Sharp bettor in seven-wallet cluster

A highly profitable bettor and six linked wallets were involved as the market saw an extreme volume spike and a sharp move away from Mili Poljicak.

This bettor has won 89% of 37 resolved positions and is up nearly $29,000.
Seven linked wallets shared the same funder, while market volume surged over 10,000 times its recent average.
The trade effectively favored Nikoloz Basilashvili at 50¢, before the market moved to imply roughly 74% odds for him.

$1,094 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 89%

96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.

This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.

$29,300 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 38%

Serial trader bought Basilashvili early

A highly experienced serial trader bought Basilashvili at 50¢ amid an extreme volume surge, though the wallet’s broad win rate does not clearly exceed its average entry odds.

This wallet has resolved 30,201 markets and earned nearly $29.0M in lifetime profit.
The $1,419 purchase at 50¢ preceded Basilashvili’s move to roughly 74¢.
Trading activity spiked more than 10,000x the recent average across five trades.

$1,419 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 64%