Santa Cruz: Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Santa Cruz tennis match between Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian, originally scheduled for April 15, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with current activity showing smart money interest including a sharp bettor buying the dip. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market resolves according to the stated rules by the resolution date of April 22, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian in the Santa Cruz, originally scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Facundo Mena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,077.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buys panic dip
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Facundo Mena after a sharp 40-point collapse, suggesting a deliberate buy-the-dip entry rather than routine flow.
- This bettor has resolved 2,361 markets, wins 73% of them, and is up $4.3M lifetime.
- They bought after Facundo Mena crashed about 40 points, getting in at 19¢ while the market now sits at 24¢.
- This is a fresh new long-sized entry for them on this side, not simple profit-taking, and the $1.6k buy is meaningful at this price.
$1,585 on Facundo Mena | Wallet win rate: 73%
74% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 74% win rate made a fresh $1.5k buy here, making this worth watching despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 329 of 446 resolved trades and is up $36.5k overall
- They've traded 48 related events for $131k total, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process
- Bought Facundo Mena at 59¢, while the market now sits near 48¢ after the trade
$1,492 on Facundo Mena | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x969b...db70 — Facundo Mena, $17,322
- 0x1624...bf63 — Valerio Aboian, $15,761
- 0xfe78...0319 — Facundo Mena, $10,779 (73% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — Valerio Aboian, $4,028
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Facundo Mena, $3,833
- 0xfefb...4b5d — Valerio Aboian, $2,844 (50% win rate)
- 0x8fd9...544a — Facundo Mena, $2,521 (74% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Facundo Mena, $2,280 (54% win rate)
- 0x33ab...9523 — Valerio Aboian, $1,643
- 0x7a5d...54db — Valerio Aboian, $1,410 (49% win rate)
