Part of: Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Santos tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Juan Manuel La Serna, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 14, 2026 if delays occur. PolySpotter is tracking $4,409 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a 91% win-rate tennis bettor and a profitable serial sports bettor.

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Luis Guto Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,409.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

91% win-rate tennis bettor

Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Luis Guto Miguel at 71¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $54,390 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record across 26 events, also hitting 91% of resolved positions.
  • Entry at 71¢ suggests they see value despite Luis Guto Miguel already being the favorite.

$1,384 on Luis Guto Miguel | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surfacing because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with 71% wins over 490 resolved markets buying Luis Guto Miguel, and the price has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
  • They bought Luis Guto Miguel at 69¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢.
  • Their average winning entry is around 51¢, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced lines.

$3,025 on Luis Guto Miguel | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbe7e...6d00 Juan Manuel La Serna, $15,452 (43% win rate)
  2. 0xc5dc...7cf2 Luis Guto Miguel, $13,124 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Luis Guto Miguel, $8,007 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x5fea...78b1 Luis Guto Miguel, $7,382
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Juan Manuel La Serna, $5,911 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x98db...dd17 Luis Guto Miguel, $5,093 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xc531...f534 Juan Manuel La Serna, $4,028 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x7ce9...61e5 Juan Manuel La Serna, $3,679
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Juan Manuel La Serna, $3,563 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x84ad...bfb7 Luis Guto Miguel, $3,189 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna

6dSantos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna$4,409 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames
Luis Guto Miguel
100¢
Juan Manuel La Serna
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Luis Guto Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Luis Guto Miguel
102¢
69¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna

2h ago

$1,384 on Luis Guto Miguel at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna

2h ago

$3,025 on Luis Guto Miguel at 69¢

69¢100¢31¢

Related Theses