Part of: SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,684.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL
Notable Trades
Fresh wallet chasing Over move
A brand-new wallet bought Over after a sharp upward move, but the bet size is modest relative to market volume and there is no track record yet.
- A wallet created under 2 hours ago put $1.5K on Over at 83¢.
- Over has jumped about 28 percentage points recently, with another 9-point move in the last day.
- The bet is unproven but directional: they are backing at a high price despite the market now sitting near 80¢.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial contrarian
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a long track record took a contrarian Under position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 69% of 370 resolved trades and is up $284,638 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 111 events and $438,924 in tracked bets.
- This was a contrarian Under buy at 51¢, but the market has since fallen to about 20¢.
$1,548 on Under | Wallet win rate: 57%
Proven sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $132k lifetime profit bought Over despite the market moving lower afterward.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $132,583 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 53 events and $120,664 traded across related markets.
- They bought Over at 55¢, while the market is now around 48¢, offering a better price than their entry.
$2,450 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under 1.5 at 49¢ with a 69% record over 370 resolved trades and $284k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $284k lifetime.
- They have traded across 111 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Under at 49¢ before the market moved to 52¢.
$2,681 on Under | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a large resolved-bet sample bought Under at 37¢ before it moved to 46¢.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved bets and is up $284k lifetime.
- They have traded across 110 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
- Bought Under at 37¢, and the market has already moved to 46¢.
$1,153 on Under | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under 1.5 at 27¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $10.9M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,827 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Under at 27¢ while the market now sits near 30¢, with volume running 44.9x above normal.
$1,536 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Over 1.5 at 74¢, backed by a long track record of positive P&L.
- This bettor is up $3.7M lifetime across nearly 15,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 595 markets across 385 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Entry at 74¢ follows modest upward movement in a liquid market.
$2,522 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%
Million-dollar sharp taking Under
Elite profitable sports bettor with a long 75% record is taking a contrarian Under position amid a large pre-event volume spike and cross-market event positioning.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.52M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 88 events with $375K tracked in similar positioning.
- The market saw a 106x pre-event volume spike, and this trade backs Under at 27¢ against the 74¢ Over consensus.
$1,501 on Under | Wallet win rate: 77%
New profitable repeat whale
A 1-hour-old wallet with early profits is making its third large flagged bet, buying $9.3k of Over into a major pre-event volume spike.
- This brand-new wallet has already made 3 large flagged bets totaling $19.5k.
- The bettor is up $4.8k on 2 resolved trades so far, though the track record is still very short.
- Market volume is spiking 106x above normal, suggesting broader pre-game positioning behind the Over move.
$9,302 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%
91% winner on goals
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $102k lifetime profit bought Over 1.5 goals at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $102,737 lifetime.
- They have a deep track record: 373 wins across 411 resolved positions.
- Buying Over at 74¢ suggests confidence despite the market already pricing it as likely.
$1,491 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 43383953, $19,105 (77% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 43383953, $18,888 (74% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 43383953, $8,897 (63% win rate)
- 0xc291...5d74 — Outcome 43383953, $5,976
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 43383953, $5,481 (71% win rate)
- 0xa85b...eb0e — Outcome 43383953, $2,891 (85% win rate)
- 0x0d96...7c16 — Outcome 43383953, $2,000 (97% win rate)
- 0x9ddc...e874 — Outcome 43383953, $1,216 (70% win rate)
- 0x5634...d81a — Outcome 43383953, $587 (79% win rate)
- 0x83d9...651b — Outcome 43383953, $548 (59% win rate)
Related Theses
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