Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $89,617.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Mariners buying cluster

Four-wallet Seattle cluster deployed $15.7K amid a 28x volume spike, with several profitable high-volume traders and a 14-point price rise supporting the thesis.

  • Four wallets committed $15,741 to Seattle, including a nearly $10,000 purchase at 45¢.
  • The flow arrived during a 28.1x historical volume spike, while Seattle’s odds rose 14 points to 58%.
  • Several participants have substantial profitable track records, including one with 64% wins across 6,351 resolved bets and $4.4M in profit.

$44,806 on Seattle Mariners

95% winner backs Houston

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.6M profit made a fresh $1,434 Astros wager amid a 28x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 7,900 resolved positions and is up $1.6 million.
  • They placed a fresh $1,434 bet on Houston at 45%, despite the market currently pricing Houston at 42%.
  • The trade coincided with a 28.1x historical volume spike, adding evidence of unusual activity.

$1,434 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable veteran bets against market move

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a substantial contrarian Astros bet during a 55x volume spike, despite the market subsequently moving 16 percentage points toward Seattle.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 628 resolved bets and is up $1.35 million.
  • They placed a $7,267 Astros bet at 54¢ during a 55x volume spike.
  • The market has since moved to 40% Astros, making this a notable contrarian position rather than straightforward momentum copying.

$7,267 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable bettor backs Houston contrarian

Three wallets committed $11.3K to Houston at 54¢ amid a major price move toward Seattle, including a highly profitable bettor with a 67% win rate and $1.35M lifetime profit.

  • A 67%-winning bettor with $1.35M in lifetime profit bought Houston for $7,267 at 54¢.
  • Three wallets concentrated $11,342 on Houston, while the market has since moved sharply toward Seattle at 38¢.
  • Two participants were adding to existing Houston positions, signaling continued conviction despite the adverse price move.

$7,258 on Houston Astros

94% win-rate bettor adds to Astros

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $3.5M profit added $28.9K to an existing Houston Astros position in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 454 resolved positions and is up $3.5M lifetime.
  • They added $28,852 to Houston at 55¢, increasing an already substantial position in a thinly traded market.
  • The 55¢ entry is slightly below the current 56% market price, offering a favorable copy point if the price remains near entry.

$28,852 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 30178667, $67,424 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 30178667, $52,459 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x684b...8409 Outcome 30178667, $20,000 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 30178667, $14,937
  5. 0x26b4...b8a9 Outcome 30178667, $13,457 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xff94...8c4b Outcome 30178667, $10,005 (69% win rate)
  7. 0xe954...1ef1 Outcome 30178667, $9,275 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 30178667, $8,996 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xb939...da70 Outcome 30178667, $7,105 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x5ad4...6866 Outcome 30178667, $3,888 (59% win rate)

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

ResolvedSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$89,617 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 16 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
3
59-66
Final
HOU
2
63-62
SEA +111HOU -119O/U 8
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
27,971
Price History — “Seattle Mariners
88¢
66¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

7d ago

$44,806 on Seattle Mariners at 45¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

7d ago

$1,434 on Houston Astros at 45¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

7d ago

$7,267 on Houston Astros at 54¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

7d ago

$7,258 on Houston Astros at 54¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

7d ago

$28,852 on Houston Astros at 55¢

Related Theses