Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 14 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,617.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

98% winner buying underdog

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $401k lifetime profit bought Houston at 25¢ despite the market favoring Seattle.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $401k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 129 events with a strong track record.
  • Entry at 25¢ on Houston implies a 4x payout if the underdog wins.

$1,444 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial sports trader with a large 700-bet history sold Seattle after a major price run-up, implying a contrarian lean toward Houston despite market momentum.

  • This bettor has a long record: 700 resolved bets, 59% winners, and about $74k in profit.
  • They are an active cross-market trader across 26 events with over $72k recently deployed.
  • Selling Seattle at 78¢ after a 26-point move implies a contrarian Houston entry around 22¢.

$1,482 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 62%

90% winner riding steam

Sharp MLB bettor with a 90% resolved track record bought Seattle amid a major 1-day price move, suggesting momentum-backed conviction.

  • This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets and is up $2,579 lifetime.
  • They bought Seattle at 78¢ as the market jumped 26 percentage points in the last day.
  • The entry implies a strong favorite position, with current odds already near 80¢.

$1,100 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 94%

New sharp sports wallet

A 5-day-old repeat bettor with a perfect early record and +$24k P&L is buying Seattle in a liquid MLB market.

  • This new bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved trades and is up $24,185 so far.
  • They have already placed 19 flagged large bets totaling $68,816 in under 5 days.
  • Buying Seattle at 51¢ suggests they see value in a near coin-flip market.

$2,591 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Houston at even odds, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 147 of 150 resolved bets and is up $401K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 128 events with a 98% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 50¢ means they are backing Houston as better than a coin flip.

$1,885 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp MLB whale

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate placed a $16.1k buy on Seattle at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $802k lifetime.
  • They put $16.1k on Seattle at 53¢, a meaningful bet even in an active market.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies they see Seattle as mispriced near even odds.

$16,115 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc33a...3da3 — Houston Astros, $9,722 (99% win rate)
  2. 0xcf3f...6d9e — Houston Astros, $5,000
  3. 0x9d94...017d — Houston Astros, $4,417
  4. 0x7760...21f0 — Houston Astros, $3,644 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x5482...b6ee — Houston Astros, $2,600
  6. 0x9495...9a27 — Houston Astros, $2,381 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x4bb2...a656 — Houston Astros, $1,771 (73% win rate)
  8. 0xcba5...cd88 — Houston Astros, $1,318 (82% win rate)
  9. 0xdcad...df78 — Houston Astros, $1,300 (40% win rate)
  10. 0x0b39...57e8 — Houston Astros, $825

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Panthers keep it close

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NATO and Russia avoid clash

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Rays win, total not eight

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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$24,617 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Seattle Mariners
100¢
Houston Astros
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 14 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
8
22-23
Final
HOU
3
17-28
SEA -119HOU -102O/U 9Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
24,398

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 18:56 UTC

$1,444 on Houston Astros at 25¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 18:51 UTC

$1,482 on Houston Astros at 22¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 18:38 UTC

$1,100 on Seattle Mariners at 78¢

78¢→100¢↑22¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 17:37 UTC

$2,591 on Seattle Mariners at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 17:23 UTC

$1,885 on Houston Astros at 50¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 14:40 UTC

$16,115 on Seattle Mariners at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

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Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Marlins win, runs stay low
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Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
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