Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 11 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,513.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surfaced despite a modest signal because this is a massively active, profitable cross-market trader with over $2.1M lifetime profit buying Over at 49¢.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 27,063 resolved bets and $2.17M in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 1,401 events, suggesting a systematic sports betting strategy.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies a near coin-flip view, though the market has since moved against them to 43¢.

$1,382 on Over | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite sports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 86% record and $1.37M lifetime profit bought Under in an MLB total market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime.
  • They have traded 564 events across 618 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Under at 49¢, roughly even odds despite a strong long-term track record.

$4,778 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

Two sharp bettors on Under

Three-wallet Under cluster includes two highly profitable sports bettors with 86% and 96% historical win rates buying the same side at 49¢.

  • Two proven bettors are on the same side: one wins 86% over 400 bets and is up $1.37M, while another wins 96% over 50 bets and is up $53.7K.
  • The cluster bought $9.2K of Under at 49¢, a meaningful one-sided move in a market with only $24.6K total volume.
  • Both sharp wallets are serial cross-market traders with strong records, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports betting edge.

$9,190 on Under

96% winner buying Under

Sharp sports bettor with a 96% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Under at near-even odds.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $53.7K lifetime.
  • They have repeatedly traded across 64 sports events with the same 96% hit rate.
  • Entry at 49¢ gives near-even exposure to a bettor with a strong documented edge.

$1,164 on Under | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x39d3...9ef0 Under, $22,230 (44% win rate)
  2. 0x9495...9a27 Over, $18,166 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xc974...b33b Under, $9,750 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x1e77...8c33 Under, $6,890 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x8753...85ad Over, $3,300 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x4488...e319 Over, $3,000 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x4379...2e16 Over, $3,000 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea Over, $2,963 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x78b0...9f1a Under, $2,376 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x6d3c...d294 Over, $2,000 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

ResolvedSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$16,513 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Over
29¢
Under
71¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 11 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
3
19-22
Live
7
2-0, 2 out
HOU
1
16-25
SEA -156HOU +129O/U 8.5Polymarket: 29¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Weather
78° Mostly cloudy
Price History — “Under
80¢
63¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

1h ago

$1,382 on Over at 49¢

49¢29¢20¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

1h ago

$4,778 on Under at 49¢

49¢71¢22¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

2h ago

$9,190 on Under at 49¢

49¢71¢22¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

2h ago

$1,164 on Under at 49¢

49¢71¢22¢

Related Theses

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | PolySpotter