Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $188,260.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Million-dollar profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with $1.07M lifetime P&L is buying Mariners at 53¢, despite the alert’s low composite score.

  • This bettor is up $1.07M lifetime across 378 resolved bets.
  • They win 59% of resolved bets, with past wins averaging around 51¢ entries.
  • This is a modest but follow-worthy Mariners buy from a wallet active across 193 events.

$2,944 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 59%

Sharp-led Royals cluster

A sharp-led five-wallet cluster put $80.7k on Kansas City, backed by a bettor with an 87% record and $2.56M lifetime profit.

  • A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M joined the Kansas City side.
  • Five wallets put $80.7k on the same outcome within minutes, with most of it at 47¢.
  • Market volume spiked over 1,000x versus its baseline ahead of the game.

$80,715 on Kansas City Royals

Elite MLB bettor backing underdog

Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.56M profit is buying Kansas City despite Seattle being favored.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.56M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 714 events with the same 87% win rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
  • Buying Kansas City at 45¢ gives underdog exposure against a market pricing Seattle as the favorite.

$1,188 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 87%

Whale volume spike

A very large Mariners buy drove an enormous pre-game volume spike, but the bettor’s historical P&L is weak, so this is mainly a whale-flow signal rather than a proven sharp-wallet signal.

  • A single bettor bought $79.4K of Mariners at 56¢, more than 3x this market’s recent daily volume.
  • The trade coincides with a huge pre-game volume spike, suggesting fresh money is pushing one side.
  • This wallet is active across many sports markets, but its lifetime record is mixed rather than clearly sharp.

$79,355 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable sports whale backing underdog

Highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor put $24k on Kansas City at 44¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $12.5M lifetime across more than 2,600 resolved bets.
  • They put $24k on Kansas City at 44¢, taking the underdog side in one burst.
  • Market activity spiked sharply before the game, with this bet making up about 68% of 24h volume.

$24,057 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd959...daf7 Seattle Mariners, $315,810 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x9495...9a27 Kansas City Royals, $154,716 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xa710...23c4 Kansas City Royals, $141,082 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x2c33...0563 Kansas City Royals, $100,000 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xfa5f...6bfe Seattle Mariners, $41,536 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xd48a...6e90 Kansas City Royals, $16,263 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x21f3...35e3 Seattle Mariners, $11,982 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x5d1d...afd2 Kansas City Royals, $10,499 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xa1ff...55bd Seattle Mariners, $10,000
  10. 0x8fba...d08a Seattle Mariners, $10,000 (48% win rate)

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Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

7dSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$188,260 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Seattle Mariners
53¢
Kansas City Royals
48¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
25-27
KC
20-31
SEA -131KC +108O/U 8.5Polymarket: 53¢
Price History — “Seattle Mariners
59¢
54¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

37m ago

$2,944 on Seattle Mariners at 53¢

53¢53¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

1h ago

$80,715 on Kansas City Royals at 47¢

47¢48¢1¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

2h ago

$1,188 on Kansas City Royals at 45¢

45¢48¢3¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

2h ago

$79,355 on Seattle Mariners at 56¢

56¢53¢3¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

2h ago

$24,057 on Kansas City Royals at 44¢

44¢48¢4¢

Related Theses