Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 11 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,108.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins seven-wallet Under cluster

A highly profitable serial trader bought Under at 44¢ alongside six other wallets, and the position later resolved favorably at 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 374 resolved trades and is up $643,101 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets bought Under together, committing $31,144 to the same baseball total.
  • The trader entered Under at 44¢, implying roughly a 2.3x payout if correct.

$5,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor leads four-wallet Under cluster

A four-wallet Under cluster put $20.6K into a liquid MLB total, including a highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and strong historical edge.

  • The lead bettor wins 81% of 373 resolved trades and is up $636,877, with wins averaging just 52% implied odds.
  • Four wallets bought Under at 44¢ for $20,602, including three traders adding to existing Under positions.
  • The trade coincided with a 447x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated pregame conviction.

$21,915 on Under

94% win-rate bettor buys Over

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $23,192 purchase of Over at 55¢ in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions, with $3.15M in reported profit across 424 bets.
  • They placed a concentrated $23,192 bet on Over at 55¢, representing nearly all recent market volume.
  • The bettor has traded across 619 markets and 535 events, suggesting broad, repeatable expertise rather than a one-off wager.

$23,192 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 — Over, $54,181 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x9930...696e — Over, $316
  3. 0x161a...4103 — Over, $186 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xdc9e...5a9e — Over, $127 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x24ce...da46 — Over, $34
  6. 0xee60...6902 — Over, $25
  7. 0xf9ce...feb1 — Over, $20
  8. 0x92aa...0341 — Over, $20
  9. 0x22a4...63eb — Over, $19 (73% win rate)
  10. 0xe682...dbcd — Over, $18

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Panthers keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

NATO and Russia avoid clash

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$50,108 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Over
0¢
Under
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 11 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
1
56-64
Final
NYY
4
67-52
SEA +120NYY -129O/U 8Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Attendance
41,407

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

2026-08-12 11:00 UTC

$5,000 on Under at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

2026-08-11 23:03 UTC

$21,915 on Under at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

2026-08-11 20:15 UTC

$23,192 on Over at 55¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Panthers keep it close
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Bears (-4.5)Spread: Bears (-2.5)Spread: Bears (-3.5)
NATO and Russia avoid clash
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…
Rays win, total not eight
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …