Part of: Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkaya

Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkaya

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,351.

Notable Trades

Breakout bettor buys Pavlovic

A sizable tennis position preceded a sharp 25-point breakout, although the wallet’s large historical sample does not show a clear pricing edge.

A $2,857 buy at 79¢ preceded Luka Pavlovic’s move to 82%.
Pavlovic has surged 32.5 percentage points in one day, breaking well above the prior 50–54% range.
The wallet has traded 24,867 resolved positions and earned $2.1 million, though its 54% win rate is not clearly superior to its average entry prices.

$2,857 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 54%

96% winner backs Mert Alkaya

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate placed an $11,000 fresh bet on Mert Alkaya amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 96% of 69 resolved positions and earned $2.55 million in P&L.
They placed an $11,000 bet on Mert Alkaya at 49¢, showing meaningful conviction in the near-even matchup.
Trading activity was reported at 2,140x the recent average, adding support to the directional signal.

$10,000 on Mert Alkaya | Wallet win rate: 95%

91% win-rate tennis specialist

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Luka Pavlovic at even odds during an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 91% of 4,034 resolved positions and is up $2.61 million.
They bought Luka Pavlovic at 50¢, implying strong conviction in a match priced evenly by the market.
Trading volume was 292 times its historical average, adding support to the fresh position.

$1,184 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 91%

96% winner backs Mert Alkaya

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate placed an $11,000 fresh bet on Mert Alkaya amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 96% of 69 resolved positions and earned $2.55 million in P&L.
They placed an $11,000 bet on Mert Alkaya at 49¢, showing meaningful conviction in the near-even matchup.
Trading activity was reported at 2,140x the recent average, adding support to the directional signal.

$5,000 on Mert Alkaya | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% winner in six-wallet cluster

A highly proven tennis bettor with a 96% win rate and $538,862 profit bought Luka Pavlovic, alongside five linked wallets.

This bettor has won 96% of 2,249 resolved positions and is up $538,862 lifetime.
Six wallets sharing a funder have positioned on Luka Pavlovic, reinforcing the directional conviction.
The trade entered at 54¢ while the market was near 52–53¢, implying a meaningful edge despite a liquid market.

$1,310 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner backs Mert Alkaya

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate placed an $11,000 fresh bet on Mert Alkaya amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 96% of 69 resolved positions and earned $2.55 million in P&L.
They placed an $11,000 bet on Mert Alkaya at 49¢, showing meaningful conviction in the near-even matchup.
Trading activity was reported at 2,140x the recent average, adding support to the directional signal.

$11,000 on Mert Alkaya | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0x7d6d...2654 — Outcome 80571621, $156,725 (95% win rate)
0x32d2...8850 — Outcome 80571621, $24,032 (71% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 80571621, $5,090 (57% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 80571621, $2,292 (96% win rate)
0xef53...4591 — Outcome 80571621, $2,000 (94% win rate)
0xc196...2e6b — Outcome 80571621, $588
0xb943...375b — Outcome 80571621, $500
0x8859...89d6 — Outcome 80571621, $455
0x3555...208e — Outcome 80571621, $454
0xcc11...c87b — Outcome 80571621, $315

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkaya

ResolvedSegovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkaya$31,351 tracked6 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Mert Alkaya in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Mert Alkaya. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Luka Pavlovic”

87¢

61¢

34¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction