Part of: Senegal vs. Iraq - More Markets

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,014,530.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp 8-wallet Under cluster

High-conviction Under cluster led by multiple highly profitable sports/event traders, including wallets with 95% and 99% resolved-bet records.

  • Two elite bettors with 95% and 99% records bought Under, including one up $1.23M lifetime.
  • Eight wallets put $38K on the same side while market volume spiked 13x.
  • A serial cross-market trader with a 95% record across 294 markets is also aligned with the Under side.

$38,202 on Under

Linked cluster buying Over

High composite alert driven by a $41k one-sided Over cluster, linked wallets, and a massively active profitable cross-market trader despite the single wallet's modest 55% hit rate.

  • Five wallets put $41k on Over, with two linked to the same funder.
  • This bettor is up $4.2M lifetime across 48,621 resolved bets.
  • They are active across this event, with $97.5k placed on 7 related markets.

$1,872 on Over | Wallet win rate: 55%

Serial event trader buying Over

High-volume momentum trade from a serial cross-market sports bettor, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is not especially strong.

  • This bettor has traded across 31 events and 39 markets, with a 67% hit rate over 742 resolved bets.
  • The market has seen a major momentum move, with Over up 31 points today and a 12.8x volume spike.
  • They paid 78¢ for Over, while the market is now around 72¢, offering a better entry than the original trade.

$1,999 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%

Linked cluster buying Over

High composite alert driven by a $41k one-sided Over cluster, linked wallets, and a massively active profitable cross-market trader despite the single wallet's modest 55% hit rate.

  • Five wallets put $41k on Over, with two linked to the same funder.
  • This bettor is up $4.2M lifetime across 48,621 resolved bets.
  • They are active across this event, with $97.5k placed on 7 related markets.

$1,372 on Over | Wallet win rate: 55%

5-wallet Over cluster

Surfacing due to coordinated one-sided Over buying from 5 wallets totaling $41.4K plus a 13x pre-event volume spike, despite this specific wallet’s weak history.

  • Five wallets bought the Over in the same window, totaling $41.4K, with two linked by funder.
  • Market volume spiked 13x ahead of kickoff, matching the one-sided buying pressure.
  • This wallet paid 54–55¢, while the market is now around 44¢.

$6,723 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%

Repeat whale buying Over

A repeat high-volume sports bettor put $512K on Over just before kickoff amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong upward price momentum.

  • This bettor placed $512K on Over across 7 trades, building the position from 42¢ to 44¢.
  • The market saw a 514x pre-event volume spike, with Over up 14.5 points over the past week.
  • This wallet has traded 66 related sports events and wins 65% of resolved bets, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$36,297 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

Repeat whale buying Over

A repeat high-volume sports bettor put $512K on Over just before kickoff amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong upward price momentum.

  • This bettor placed $512K on Over across 7 trades, building the position from 42¢ to 44¢.
  • The market saw a 514x pre-event volume spike, with Over up 14.5 points over the past week.
  • This wallet has traded 66 related sports events and wins 65% of resolved bets, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$327,327 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

New whale in Over cluster

High-conviction Over buy from a brand-new repeat whale amid a 5-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume surge.

  • Five wallets bought the same Over side, totaling about $358K in one-sided flow.
  • This brand-new wallet has already made $44K in flagged bets and added $15K here.
  • Volume spiked 369x before the match, and the entry at 45¢ has already moved to around 60¢.

$15,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Repeat whale buying Over

A repeat high-volume sports bettor put $512K on Over just before kickoff amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong upward price momentum.

  • This bettor placed $512K on Over across 7 trades, building the position from 42¢ to 44¢.
  • The market saw a 514x pre-event volume spike, with Over up 14.5 points over the past week.
  • This wallet has traded 66 related sports events and wins 65% of resolved bets, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$511,704 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven sports sharp rebuys Under

A highly profitable 76% lifetime sports bettor with extensive cross-market history is buying Under 3.5 at 59¢ while also positioning across related Senegal-Iraq markets.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.82M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.26M staked across 224 events.
  • They have $11.4K positioned across 4 related markets for this game, pointing to a broader thesis.

$2,625 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe9a6...627b Outcome 53145175, $66,905 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x56e2...4b88 Outcome 53145175, $50,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x4337...8882 Outcome 53145175, $22,222 (75% win rate)
  4. 0x6799...9cc2 Outcome 53145175, $20,000 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x224f...514a Outcome 53145175, $12,500 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x29b7...4108 Outcome 53145175, $11,600 (72% win rate)
  7. 0x1aa2...30cc Outcome 53145175, $10,714 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xa1f3...d99c Outcome 53145175, $9,160 (92% win rate)
  9. 0xa6d1...286a Outcome 53145175, $8,188 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 53145175, $8,000 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

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Czechia won't beat Korea

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England routs Croatia

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Sweden beats Netherlands low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Portugal routs Uzbekistan early

Covers 3 related markets

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

ResolvedSenegal vs. Iraq - More Markets$1,014,530 tracked14 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Senegal and Iraq combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Iraq
IRQ
0
World Cup
Full Time
Senegal
SEN
5
SEN 1/500IRQ 150/1
Venue
BMO Field, Toronto
Attendance
43,036
Price History — “Over
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$38,202 on Under at 60¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$1,872 on Over at 56¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$1,999 on Over at 78¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$1,372 on Over at 56¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$6,723 on Over at 54¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$36,297 on Over at 44¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$327,327 on Over at 44¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$15,000 on Over at 45¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$511,704 on Over at 44¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$2,625 on Under at 59¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$20,000 on Under at 60¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$20,000 on Under at 60¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$30,408 on Under at 68¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$1,000 on Over at 40¢

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