Part of: Senegal vs. Iraq - More Markets
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $260,831.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster on Over
Strong one-sided Over flow with a proven 94% winning bettor and linked-wallet participation drove the market from mid-60s to 100%.
- A bettor who wins 94% of resolved trades joined the Over side and is up $43k lifetime.
- Six wallets pushed nearly $20k the same way, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The move was confirmed by the market: Over jumped from the high-60¢ range to 100%.
$19,662 on Over
Profitable serial bettor on Under
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under alongside one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 17,246 resolved trades and +$16.4M lifetime profit.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $10.9K, adding support to the Under thesis.
- The entry was 62¢, but Under is now around 41¢ after a sharp move against the trade.
$1,724 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%
5-wallet Over cluster
High-score coordinated Over flow from 5 wallets, backed by event-level cross-market activity and a large pre-game volume spike.
- Five wallets put $14.4k on Over, mostly by selling Under into the same direction.
- The market has seen an 11.2x pre-event volume spike and Over is up 14 points on the day.
- Several wallets are active across related Senegal-Iraq markets, including one profile with a 91% resolved-bet record.
$14,376 on Over
6-wallet Under surge
Coordinated one-sided buying pushed Under sharply higher, though the flagged wallet itself has a weak long-term record.
- Six wallets bought the same side, putting $19.4K into Under together.
- Under jumped 21 percentage points, and this wallet entered much earlier at an average around 56¢.
- The bettor’s own long-term record is weak, so the main signal is the coordinated market move, not this wallet alone.
$3,212 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
8-wallet linked Under whale
A large linked 8-wallet cluster bought $220k of Under just before kickoff amid a 745x volume spike, despite mixed wallet track records and some opposing Over flow.
- 8 wallets bought the same side for $220k, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- Pregame volume spiked 745x above normal, suggesting this total became a major focus right before the match.
- The cluster paid around 73–74¢, while Under is now 68¢, offering a cheaper entry than the whales got.
$220,108 on Under
Elite sharp buying Under
Sharp, highly profitable sports bettor with a huge sample is buying Under 4.5 despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
- They have traded across 220 events with $1.22M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Under at 77¢ aligns with the market favorite but comes from a proven profitable wallet.
$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 11546988, $8,937 (71% win rate)
- 0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 11546988, $4,444 (76% win rate)
- 0x51fc...128d — Outcome 11546988, $4,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 11546988, $3,724 (70% win rate)
- 0x96ef...b406 — Outcome 11546988, $3,331 (100% win rate)
- 0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 11546988, $3,170 (85% win rate)
- 0x56f4...9ec5 — Outcome 11546988, $3,032 (66% win rate)
- 0xe3d4...2bac — Outcome 11546988, $2,864 (62% win rate)
- 0x56e2...4a79 — Outcome 11546988, $2,695 (86% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 11546988, $2,533 (76% win rate)
Related Theses
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Covers 3 related markets


