Part of: Senegal vs. Iraq - More Markets

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $260,831.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster on Over

Strong one-sided Over flow with a proven 94% winning bettor and linked-wallet participation drove the market from mid-60s to 100%.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of resolved trades joined the Over side and is up $43k lifetime.
  • Six wallets pushed nearly $20k the same way, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The move was confirmed by the market: Over jumped from the high-60¢ range to 100%.

$19,662 on Over

Profitable serial bettor on Under

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under alongside one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 17,246 resolved trades and +$16.4M lifetime profit.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $10.9K, adding support to the Under thesis.
  • The entry was 62¢, but Under is now around 41¢ after a sharp move against the trade.

$1,724 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%

5-wallet Over cluster

High-score coordinated Over flow from 5 wallets, backed by event-level cross-market activity and a large pre-game volume spike.

  • Five wallets put $14.4k on Over, mostly by selling Under into the same direction.
  • The market has seen an 11.2x pre-event volume spike and Over is up 14 points on the day.
  • Several wallets are active across related Senegal-Iraq markets, including one profile with a 91% resolved-bet record.

$14,376 on Over

6-wallet Under surge

Coordinated one-sided buying pushed Under sharply higher, though the flagged wallet itself has a weak long-term record.

  • Six wallets bought the same side, putting $19.4K into Under together.
  • Under jumped 21 percentage points, and this wallet entered much earlier at an average around 56¢.
  • The bettor’s own long-term record is weak, so the main signal is the coordinated market move, not this wallet alone.

$3,212 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

8-wallet linked Under whale

A large linked 8-wallet cluster bought $220k of Under just before kickoff amid a 745x volume spike, despite mixed wallet track records and some opposing Over flow.

  • 8 wallets bought the same side for $220k, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • Pregame volume spiked 745x above normal, suggesting this total became a major focus right before the match.
  • The cluster paid around 73–74¢, while Under is now 68¢, offering a cheaper entry than the whales got.

$220,108 on Under

Elite sharp buying Under

Sharp, highly profitable sports bettor with a huge sample is buying Under 4.5 despite only a modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 220 events with $1.22M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Under at 77¢ aligns with the market favorite but comes from a proven profitable wallet.

$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 11546988, $8,937 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xbb0b...3790 Outcome 11546988, $4,444 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x51fc...128d Outcome 11546988, $4,000 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x1d60...453d Outcome 11546988, $3,724 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x96ef...b406 Outcome 11546988, $3,331 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xe8e0...7eec Outcome 11546988, $3,170 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x56f4...9ec5 Outcome 11546988, $3,032 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xe3d4...2bac Outcome 11546988, $2,864 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x56e2...4a79 Outcome 11546988, $2,695 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 11546988, $2,533 (76% win rate)

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Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

ResolvedSenegal vs. Iraq - More Markets$260,831 tracked6 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Senegal and Iraq combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Iraq
IRQ
0
World Cup
Live
57'
Senegal
SEN
2
SEN 1/50IRQ 50/1
Venue
BMO Field, Toronto
Price History — “Under
88¢
82¢
75¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$19,662 on Over at 68¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$1,724 on Under at 62¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$14,376 on Over at 49¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$3,212 on Under at 56¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$220,108 on Under at 73¢

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

5d ago

$1,749 on Under at 77¢

Related Theses