Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Tsitsipas
This Polymarket tracks who will win the first set in the Madrid Open match between Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026. The market resolves to Bublik if he takes Set 1, or Tsitsipas if he wins the opening set, even if the full match is not completed after that. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,243 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent alert tied to an 84% win-rate bettor.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bublik” if Alexander Bublik wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tsitsipas” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,243.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
84% win-rate bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with an 84% win rate is taking a meaningful position on a moderately thin tennis set market at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of their resolved trades and is up $13.6k overall
- They bought Bublik at 55¢, a price that leaves solid room if their read is right
- The $1.2k order is notable versus just $6.2k of 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
$1,243 on Bublik | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xc49f...9e05 — Tsitsipas, $6,188 (96% win rate)
- 0x9869...1a45 — Bublik, $2,260 (84% win rate)
- 0x0965...b91d — Bublik, $1,793
- 0x200f...7a96 — Bublik, $655
- 0xf971...0a57 — Tsitsipas, $543
- 0xb002...103d — Bublik, $395
- 0xeaac...d71d — Bublik, $330
- 0x5af8...57ff — Bublik, $278
- 0xe062...4907 — Bublik, $193
- 0x5213...6a35 — Bublik, $171 (83% win rate)
