Part of: Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun

Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun

This Polymarket market covers who wins the first set of Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun at the Guangzhou Open, scheduled for October 28, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET. Current odds are not included in the supplied market metadata; the listed resolution date is November 5, 2026, at 02:00 UTC.

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Maria Timofeeva” if Maria Timofeeva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,881.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced, strongly profitable bettor placed a sizeable first-set wager in a very low-volume market, though the wallet's overall win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

  • This bettor is up about $63.4M across more than 83,000 resolved trades.
  • The $1,881 bet is nearly six times the market's reported 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet bought Maria Timofeeva at 57¢; the market is now around 50¢, with a very wide spread and little liquidity.

$1,881 on Maria Timofeeva | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Maria Timofeeva, $3,300 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xb84f...ea41 — Maria Timofeeva, $179 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x5628...abbc — Maria Timofeeva, $112
  4. 0x09b8...e5fe — Maria Timofeeva, $100
  5. 0x168c...f24b — Maria Timofeeva, $52 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x0ac5...f963 — Maria Timofeeva, $32
  7. 0x7e39...fe16 — Maria Timofeeva, $29
  8. 0xd95f...adfd — Maria Timofeeva, $20
  9. 0x3c1d...da77 — Maria Timofeeva, $5
  10. 0x1fd1...af02 — Maria Timofeeva, $2

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Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun

Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun$1,881 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames
Maria Timofeeva
0¢
Xinran Sun
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Maria Timofeeva” if Maria Timofeeva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Price History — “Xinran Sun”
72¢
55¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun

2026-10-29 07:38 UTC

$1,881 on Maria Timofeeva at 57¢

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