Part of: Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
This Polymarket market covers who wins the first set of Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun at the Guangzhou Open, scheduled for October 28, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET. Current odds are not included in the supplied market metadata; the listed resolution date is November 5, 2026, at 02:00 UTC.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Maria Timofeeva” if Maria Timofeeva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,881.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, strongly profitable bettor placed a sizeable first-set wager in a very low-volume market, though the wallet's overall win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.
- This bettor is up about $63.4M across more than 83,000 resolved trades.
- The $1,881 bet is nearly six times the market's reported 24-hour volume.
- The wallet bought Maria Timofeeva at 57¢; the market is now around 50¢, with a very wide spread and little liquidity.
$1,881 on Maria Timofeeva | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Maria Timofeeva, $3,300 (64% win rate)
- 0xb84f...ea41 — Maria Timofeeva, $179 (82% win rate)
- 0x5628...abbc — Maria Timofeeva, $112
- 0x09b8...e5fe — Maria Timofeeva, $100
- 0x168c...f24b — Maria Timofeeva, $52 (93% win rate)
- 0x0ac5...f963 — Maria Timofeeva, $32
- 0x7e39...fe16 — Maria Timofeeva, $29
- 0xd95f...adfd — Maria Timofeeva, $20
- 0x3c1d...da77 — Maria Timofeeva, $5
- 0x1fd1...af02 — Maria Timofeeva, $2
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