Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Fernandez
This Polymarket tracks who will win the first set in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez match at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The market resolves to Rybakina if Elena Rybakina wins the opening set, and to Fernandez if Leylah Fernandez takes the first set. Resolution is based on the completed first set, with the market scheduled to resolve by April 24, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Leylah Fernandez in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Rybakina” if Elena Rybakina wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fernandez” if Leylah Fernandez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,991.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
85% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-win-rate sports trader with heavy cross-market activity bought Fernandez in a thin, wide-spread set market, making this a modest but copyable sharp-bettor signal.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 115 bets and has been active across 92 related markets.
- They bought Fernandez at 85¢ in a thin market with only $7.6k of volume and a very wide spread.
- The bet is nearly $2k, about a quarter of the market's liquidity, which shows real conviction for a single-set market.
$1,991 on Fernandez | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Rybakina, $4,199 (69% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Fernandez, $2,212 (49% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — Fernandez, $1,216
- 0x13f0...a50f — Fernandez, $1,157 (100% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Fernandez, $1,031
- 0x6fc4...c89d — Fernandez, $577 (100% win rate)
- 0xb3ac...5018 — Rybakina, $503 (43% win rate)
- 0x7ec7...2b6b — Rybakina, $486 (59% win rate)
- 0x6c9d...8715 — Rybakina, $302
- 0x859d...b336 — Rybakina, $300
