What does the Sabalenka vs Alexandrova prediction market cover?

It covers the winner of the first set in the National Bank Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova.

What happens if Sabalenka wins the first set?

The market resolves to “Sabalenka” if Aryna Sabalenka wins the first set.

What happens if Alexandrova wins the first set?

The market resolves to “Alexandrova” if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins the first set.

When is the Sabalenka vs Alexandrova match scheduled?

The match is originally scheduled for August 9, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.

How does the market resolve if the match is interrupted?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market uses the completed first set, provided that set has a determined winner.

Part of: National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Alexandrova

This Polymarket tennis market predicts who will win the first set between Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova at the 2026 National Bank Open. It resolves to Sabalenka or Alexandrova based on the completed first set; the match is scheduled for August 9, 2026, with market resolution by August 16, 2026. Current odds may change as traders act, and one tracked smart-money alert reported a purchase of Alexandrova.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,578.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Alexandrova

A highly active, massively profitable trader placed a $2.6K concentrated bet in a thin market at 32¢, though the wallet’s win rate is only roughly in line with its average winning price.

This trader has made $34.9M in lifetime profit across 36,185 resolved bets.
The $2,578 position represented over 1,500% of the recent 24-hour market volume.
Alexandrova was bought at 32¢ and is now priced around 64¢, indicating a strongly favorable move after entry.

$2,578 on Alexandrova | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

0x6129...0807 — Outcome 98800171, $8,125 (97% win rate)
0xda07...62a0 — Outcome 98800171, $294
0x224f...514a — Outcome 98800171, $156 (84% win rate)
0xf0ac...4ec7 — Outcome 98800171, $67 (28% win rate)
0x17ef...9a2c — Outcome 98800171, $60
0x7e39...fe16 — Outcome 98800171, $58
0xf020...20f5 — Outcome 98800171, $15
0x8569...82db — Outcome 98800171, $11
0x74f9...6024 — Outcome 98800171, $6
0xf06d...510c — Outcome 98800171, $5

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Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Alexandrova

7dNational Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$2,578 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sabalenka” if Aryna Sabalenka wins the first set. It will resolve to “Alexandrova” if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

Notable Trades