Part of: National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Tirante
This Polymarket tennis market predicts who will win the first set between Learner Tien and Thiago Agustin Tirante at the 2026 National Bank Open. It resolves to Tien or Tirante based on the completed first set; the market currently has $3,000 in tracked smart money and one signal, including a sharp bettor scaling into Tien.
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tien” if Learner Tien wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tirante” if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,000.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Tien
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 88% win rate is adding $3,000 to Tien in a thin market where the bet represents over three times the 24-hour volume.
- This bettor has won 88% of 26 resolved trades and is up $56,854.
- The $3,000 addition is more than three times the market’s $895 in 24-hour volume.
- They have traded 36 events with an 88% win rate, adding credibility to this position.
$3,000 on Tien | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xf1bf...492e — Tien, $4,690 (88% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Tirante, $3,361 (53% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Tirante, $2,291 (49% win rate)
- 0x7414...72a3 — Tien, $1,475 (60% win rate)
- 0x6407...d360 — Tirante, $808 (83% win rate)
- 0xba0d...9a6e — Tien, $300 (51% win rate)
- 0xef4f...4598 — Tien, $300 (85% win rate)
- 0x4c5e...8819 — Tien, $295 (75% win rate)
- 0x5b62...d87f — Tirante, $223 (81% win rate)
- 0x200f...7a96 — Tirante, $223
Related Theses
Arthur Fery beats Choinski
Covers 1 related market
Collignon beats Blancaneaux
Covers 1 related market
Dzumhur beats Sanchez Quilez
Covers 1 related market
Benjamin Hassan beats Midon
Covers 1 related market
Dimitrov beats Damm in Bordeaux
Covers 1 related market
Rybakina beats Svitolina
Covers 1 related market
Van Assche beats Cerundolo
Covers 1 related market
Messi will fail to score
Covers 1 related market
Atlanta Dream will beat Chicago Sky
Covers 1 related market
Argentina will advance over Spain
Covers 1 related market
