Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)
This prediction market tracks whether Carlos Alcaraz will beat Alexander Bublik by at least 2 sets in their Rolex Monte Carlo Masters match on April 10, 2026. The market resolves to Alcaraz if he wins by a 2-set margin or more; otherwise it resolves to Bublik. If the match starts but is not completed, the market settles 50-50, with final resolution tied to the market rules by April 17, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Bublik in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 10 2026. This market will resolve to "Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Bublik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Bublik." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,778.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
94% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge made a sizable fresh buy on Alcaraz, which is notable even though the market itself is reasonably active.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $161.8k across 141 resolved positions
- They bought nearly $5.8k of Alcaraz at 69¢, a meaningful position from a proven profitable wallet
- The bet was over half of this market’s 24-hour volume, showing real conviction despite decent liquidity
$5,778 on Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x3e2f...aaf8 — Bublik, $44,463 (41% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Alcaraz, $13,926 (55% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Alcaraz, $9,681 (53% win rate)
- 0xbd52...df69 — Alcaraz, $8,568 (94% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Alcaraz, $7,818 (50% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Bublik, $3,619 (40% win rate)
- 0xd8db...ccfb — Alcaraz, $2,874 (59% win rate)
- 0x1467...4372 — Bublik, $2,036 (49% win rate)
- 0x3349...c0b8 — Alcaraz, $2,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x32cc...68b3 — Alcaraz, $1,902 (57% win rate)
