Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,932.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
81% winner backing underdog
Sharp 81% winning wallet with positive lifetime P&L is making a coordinated three-market thesis on Chwalinska and a longer match.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $18.4K lifetime.
- They put nearly $5K across three related markets, backing Chwalinska and Over 2.5 sets.
- The handicap price jumped 11.5 points in three minutes, suggesting their trade helped move a thin spread.
$4,991 on Chwalinska | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp tennis bettor cross-market
Sharp tennis wallet with an 81% resolved win rate is taking a cross-market position favoring Chwalinska keeping the match close.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $18,434 lifetime.
- They bought Chwalinska +1.5 sets at 42¢ while also backing a longer match across related markets.
- The market is fairly thin, with an 23¢ spread and $8.4k liquidity, so this looks like a deliberate position.
$3,200 on Chwalinska | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Chwalinska at 40¢ alongside a sharp short-term price move, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- This bettor has a large track record: 560 resolved bets, 61% winners, and about $178.6K profit.
- They have traded across 150 events with $1.7M invested, suggesting this is a repeat sports bettor rather than a one-off bet.
- Chwalinska jumped 11.5 percentage points in 3 minutes, and this wallet bought at 40¢ during the move.
$1,452 on Chwalinska | Wallet win rate: 61%
90% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% historical win rate and $277k profit bought Andreeva -1.5 at 62¢, backed by extensive cross-market tennis/sports activity.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $277k lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 197 events with $716k in tracked volume.
- Entry at 62¢ implies they see Andreeva covering the set handicap as underpriced.
$3,900 on Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable new tennis wallet
A 4-day-old wallet with early $8.3k profit and repeated flagged bets is buying Andreeva on the set handicap at 59¢.
- This 4-day-old wallet is already up $8.3k across early Polymarket activity.
- It has now been flagged 3 times for larger bets, totaling $7.6k in notable positions.
- The bettor is buying Andreeva at 59¢ in a liquid tennis market, suggesting fresh conviction rather than a tiny illiquid punt.
$1,624 on Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 82%
Proven tennis sharp buying favorite
Sharp tennis bettor with an 80% long-run win rate and strong cross-market history bought Andreeva -1.5 at 59¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $123k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 44 events and $87k in similar event-level positioning.
- Entry at 59¢ implies they see Andreeva -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.
$1,781 on Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 79%
80% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp profitable tennis bettor with an 80% long-term win rate is making a large Andreeva handicap buy that dominates this market’s daily volume.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $121k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with the same 80% hit rate.
- This $2k Andreeva buy equals 83% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
$1,985 on Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x9106...afcb — Outcome 11364658, $5,699 (70% win rate)
- 0xae30...079e — Outcome 11364658, $3,629 (61% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 11364658, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xdbca...ca8d — Outcome 11364658, $2,222 (84% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 11364658, $1,884 (70% win rate)
- 0x54a6...7401 — Outcome 11364658, $1,111 (79% win rate)
- 0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 11364658, $1,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 11364658, $698 (82% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 11364658, $609 (95% win rate)
- 0xb052...7ada — Outcome 11364658, $560
Related Theses
Diamondbacks beat Rangers
Covers 1 related market
Spurs Leeds goalfest incoming
Covers 1 related market
Manchester City will win
Covers 1 related market
Braves Reds game goes over
Covers 1 related market
Natus Vincere beats Legacy
Covers 1 related market
Bridges clears 15.5 points
Covers 1 related market
Jodar Zverev goes long
Covers 1 related market
