What is the Arnaldi -1.5 vs Gomez +1.5 prediction market?

This market is a set handicap bet on Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico Agustin Gomez in the Croatia Open. Arnaldi needs to win by at least 2 sets for the Arnaldi outcome to resolve as the winner; any other completed result resolves to Gomez.

When does the Arnaldi vs Gomez market resolve?

The listed resolution date is July 22, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. Resolution is based on the final completed score of the match, subject to the market’s cancellation and delay rules.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $15,000 in smart money activity on this market, across 2 signals, including alerts labeled as profitable tennis sharp adding.

Where can I track Arnaldi vs Gomez Polymarket odds?

You can use PolySpotter to monitor this market’s Polymarket odds, smart money activity, and recent sharp-trader signals for the Arnaldi -1.5 vs Gomez +1.5 set handicap.

Part of: Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi

Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Gomez (+1.5)

Q: What happens if the Arnaldi vs Gomez match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves 50-50. If it is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond the market’s stated window, the exchange rules determine settlement.

This Polymarket tennis market tracks the set handicap for Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico Agustin Gomez at the Croatia Open: Arnaldi must win by 2 or more sets for the Arnaldi side to cash, otherwise Gomez +1.5 wins. The market is scheduled to resolve by July 22, 2026, based on the final completed match score, with $15,000 in smart money tracked across 2 recent signals.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,000.

Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp adding

Proven profitable sports bettor with a strong 78% record and nearly $927k P&L is adding to an existing Arnaldi handicap position.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $927k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market history: 85 events, 98 markets, and $1.67M traded.
This is an add-on bet, bringing their Arnaldi exposure above $22k at around 56–57¢.

$5,000 on Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable tennis sharp adding

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $1M P&L is adding a sizable Arnaldi handicap position around 56¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $927k lifetime.
They have a deep sports track record: 230 resolved positions and 83 cross-market events traded.
They added $10k to Arnaldi, bringing the open position to about $17.8k at a 56¢ average entry.

$10,000 on Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x9f03...766d — Outcome 35505409, $17,845 (79% win rate)
0x42a1...a8e9 — Outcome 35505409, $364
0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 35505409, $305 (64% win rate)
0x3f34...ed6a — Outcome 35505409, $150
0x167a...d542 — Outcome 35505409, $69
0x6770...c3bd — Outcome 35505409, $65 (79% win rate)
0x085a...58a8 — Outcome 35505409, $55
0x54d5...77d4 — Outcome 35505409, $38
0xeab7...b389 — Outcome 35505409, $20
0x0009...5497 — Outcome 35505409, $20

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Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Gomez (+1.5)

3dCroatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi$15,000 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesTennis

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Agustin Gomez in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arnaldi" if Matteo Arnaldi wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Agustin Gomez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Gomez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Price History — “Arnaldi”

53¢

51¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction