Part of: Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)
This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers the set handicap between Arthur Fils and Thiago Agustin Tirante, scheduled for August 21, 2026. The market resolves to Fils if he wins by at least two sets; otherwise, it resolves to Tirante. Live market prices were not included in the provided metadata, but smart-money activity shows signals on both players.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,093.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner adds to Tirante
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $1,568 to Tirante through a six-wallet funded cluster amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 96% of 2,763 resolved positions and earned $717,072 in profit.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are involved, while market volume spiked 668x its recent average.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Tirante position at 53¢, though its simultaneous Fils holding indicates some hedging.
$1,568 on Tirante | Wallet win rate: 96%
91% win-rate serial bettor buys Fils
A highly proven serial trader with a 91% win rate and $2.94M profit made a fresh $3,525 bet on Fils at 47%.
- This bettor wins 91% of 4,493 resolved positions and is up $2.94 million.
- The wallet has traded across 325 events and 341 markets, indicating a sustained edge rather than a one-off result.
- A fresh $3,525 position backs Fils at 47%, near the market price but from an unusually strong track record.
$3,525 on Fils | Wallet win rate: 91%
Serial sharp backing Fils
A proven 83% winner with substantial positive edge is making a fresh $2,000 bet on Fils while maintaining a broad serial cross-market record.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades and is up $55,542 across 36 resolved positions.
- The wallet has traded 35 markets across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
- A $2,000 buy at 50¢ represents meaningful conviction in a near-evenly priced tennis handicap.
$2,000 on Fils | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x21fd...f263 — Outcome 95791900, $14,885 (100% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 95791900, $7,590 (86% win rate)
- 0x3e04...564d — Outcome 95791900, $3,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xf2bb...3250 — Outcome 95791900, $980 (92% win rate)
- 0xbedb...6bc3 — Outcome 95791900, $741
- 0xf03b...3ba1 — Outcome 95791900, $686 (78% win rate)
- 0x7547...d158 — Outcome 95791900, $575
- 0x7738...5dbd — Outcome 95791900, $307
- 0x183b...b6e9 — Outcome 95791900, $242
- 0x5d1f...1e14 — Outcome 95791900, $241
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