Part of: Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils

Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers the set handicap between Arthur Fils and Thiago Agustin Tirante, scheduled for August 21, 2026. The market resolves to Fils if he wins by at least two sets; otherwise, it resolves to Tirante. Live market prices were not included in the provided metadata, but smart-money activity shows signals on both players.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,093.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% winner adds to Tirante

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $1,568 to Tirante through a six-wallet funded cluster amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 2,763 resolved positions and earned $717,072 in profit.
  • Six wallets sharing a funder are involved, while market volume spiked 668x its recent average.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Tirante position at 53¢, though its simultaneous Fils holding indicates some hedging.

$1,568 on Tirante | Wallet win rate: 96%

91% win-rate serial bettor buys Fils

A highly proven serial trader with a 91% win rate and $2.94M profit made a fresh $3,525 bet on Fils at 47%.

  • This bettor wins 91% of 4,493 resolved positions and is up $2.94 million.
  • The wallet has traded across 325 events and 341 markets, indicating a sustained edge rather than a one-off result.
  • A fresh $3,525 position backs Fils at 47%, near the market price but from an unusually strong track record.

$3,525 on Fils | Wallet win rate: 91%

Serial sharp backing Fils

A proven 83% winner with substantial positive edge is making a fresh $2,000 bet on Fils while maintaining a broad serial cross-market record.

  • This bettor wins 83% of trades and is up $55,542 across 36 resolved positions.
  • The wallet has traded 35 markets across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
  • A $2,000 buy at 50¢ represents meaningful conviction in a near-evenly priced tennis handicap.

$2,000 on Fils | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x21fd...f263 Outcome 95791900, $14,885 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 95791900, $7,590 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x3e04...564d Outcome 95791900, $3,000 (83% win rate)
  4. 0xf2bb...3250 Outcome 95791900, $980 (92% win rate)
  5. 0xbedb...6bc3 Outcome 95791900, $741
  6. 0xf03b...3ba1 Outcome 95791900, $686 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 95791900, $575
  8. 0x7738...5dbd Outcome 95791900, $307
  9. 0x183b...b6e9 Outcome 95791900, $242
  10. 0x5d1f...1e14 Outcome 95791900, $241

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Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

4dCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils$7,093 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fils" if Arthur Fils wins by 2 or more sets than Thiago Agustin Tirante, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tirante." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Price History — “Fils
97¢
72¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

3d ago

$1,568 on Tirante at 53¢

Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

3d ago

$3,525 on Fils at 47¢

Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

3d ago

$2,000 on Fils at 50¢

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