Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)
This Polymarket tennis market covers the set handicap for Joao Fonseca vs Jakub Mensik at Roland Garros, where Fonseca must win by 2 or more sets for the “Fonseca” side to resolve yes. Otherwise, the market resolves to “Mensik,” with final resolution expected by June 9, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,369 in smart money and 1 signal, including buying on Fonseca from a profitable sports bettor.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Jakub Mensik in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fonseca" if Joao Fonseca wins by 2 or more sets than Jakub Mensik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mensik." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,533.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a large Fonseca handicap buy that was nearly 80% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor is up $67K lifetime across 100 resolved bets, with a 66% win rate.
- They bought $3.4K of Fonseca at 53¢, nearly 80% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This wallet has traded across 83 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
$3,369 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 66%
98% winner buying Fonseca
Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $1.27M profit bought Fonseca -1.5 at 52¢.
- This bettor has won 98% of 930 resolved trades and is up $1.27M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 525 events with over $1.0M in tracked activity.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Fonseca -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.
$1,164 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xd3d2...fe85 — Fonseca, $6,356 (66% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — Mensik, $4,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Mensik, $3,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x05e3...4b87 — Fonseca, $2,403 (98% win rate)
- 0xb946...2671 — Mensik, $1,095 (50% win rate)
- 0x79aa...1168 — Fonseca, $1,057
- 0xa4f9...9419 — Mensik, $1,000 (35% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Fonseca, $761 (98% win rate)
- 0x1f64...3633 — Mensik, $721
- 0xcb1b...69f2 — Mensik, $400
